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Sean Brown
Sean Brown

#17Sean Brown

TE·Jacksonville State·2024

Sean Brown is a Red Zone Weapon TE for Jacksonville State.

What projects, and what doesn't · TEs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.42
    Beats guessing the TE average by 9%. n=2,225 TE seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.04
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=2,016 TE seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.46
    Beats guessing the TE average by 13%. n=2,016 TE seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Sean Brown's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving
11 Receptions181 Rec yards3 Rec TD16.5 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs TE peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume6
  • Explosiveness63
  • Consistency81
  • Pass-Down0
Player type
Red Zone Weapon TE

Goes from good to great inside the 20 — high TD conversion on limited looks makes this receiver a scoring machine.

Red zone targetHigh TD rateSize/catch radius advantage
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency81th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 1.14 from the first to second half of the season.
  • ▸Peak game: 4.92 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs Florida International (SP+ -12).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+4.920−4.92Wk 2 vs Louisville: +2.14 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Eastern Michigan: +1.43 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Southern Miss: +0.27 EPA/play4Wk 7 vs New Mexico State: +1.79 EPA/play7Wk 10 vs Liberty: +1.34 EPA/play10Wk 12 vs Florida International: +4.92 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Sam Houston: +1.37 EPA/play13Wk 15 vs Western Kentucky: +2.53 EPA/play15
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
2@LouisvilleL14-4913.622814.01172.14
3@Eastern MichiganL34-37-13.323718.50221.43
4vsSouthern MissW44-7-25.6166.0060.27
7vsNew Mexico StateW54-13-19.0188.0081.79
10@LibertyW31-210.22189.00181.34
12vsFlorida InternationalW34-31-12.115656.01564.92
13vsSam HoustonW21-11-6.912222.00221.37
15vsWestern KentuckyW52-12-2.2166.0162.53

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
2.1%
Passing plays
6.4%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
1.6%
Passing downs
3.4%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
2.38
Passing downs
1.29
Pass / Rush EPA
1.88 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.