#7Ralph Webb

RB·Vanderbilt·20161.4 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Ralph Webb is a Featured Back for Vanderbilt. Ralph's 2016 season ranks in the 3th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 279 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Ralph Webb's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2016 Production

Rushing

1283 Rush yards13 Rush TD250 Carries5.1 Yards/carry

Receiving

21 Receptions166 Rec yards0 Rec TD7.9 Yards/rec

Returns

2 Kick returns49 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2016 · vs RB peers

Efficiency3
Volume89
Explosiveness42
Consistency48
Receiving44

Player type

Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)3th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency48th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used RBs by play share.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.14 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.55 EPA/play in Wk 8 vs Tennessee State.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Donnel Pumphrey	San Diego State	2016	344	0.320	4.2	110.1
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3
Eno Benjamin	Arizona State	2018	316	0.330	4.6	104.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsSouth Carolina	L10-13	-4.0	20	97	4.8	0	3	28	0	0.23
2	vsMiddle Tennessee	W47-24	-1.9	29	211	7.3	2	1	-5	0	0.32
3	@Georgia Tech	L7-38	7.8	18	69	3.8	0	2	15	0	-0.04
4	@Western Kentucky	W31-30	15.5	27	95	3.5	3	2	4	0	0.04
5	vsFlorida	L6-13	15.4	24	110	4.6	0	2	17	0	-0.09
6	@Kentucky	L13-20	-2.6	18	100	5.6	0	1	5	0	-0.08
7	@Georgia	W17-16	9.3	19	48	2.5	1	2	44	0	0.03
8	vsTennessee State	W35-17	—	9	125	13.9	0	1	15	0	0.55
10	@Auburn	L16-23	15.3	13	46	3.5	0	2	3	0	-0.22
11	@Missouri	L17-26	-1.0	11	34	3.1	1	1	6	0	0.00
12	vsOle Miss	W38-17	12.4	20	123	6.2	3	—	—	—	0.41
13	vsTennessee	W45-34	16.3	21	114	5.4	2	2	21	0	0.32
1	vsNC State	L17-41	9.4	21	111	5.3	1	2	13	0	0.15

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

31.2%

Passing plays

7.6%

Rushing plays

53.5%

Standard downs

32.9%

Passing downs

27.6%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.12
Passing downs: 0.16
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.17 / 0.12

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2016 · 13 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.