#1Rahsul Faison

RB·Utah State·2024

Rahsul Faison is a Explosive Back for Utah State. Rahsul's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 184 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Rahsul Faison's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Rushing

1109 Rush yards8 Rush TD198 Carries5.6 Yards/carry

Receiving

22 Receptions99 Rec yards0 Rec TD4.5 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers

Efficiency0
Volume71
Explosiveness52
Consistency31
Receiving34

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency31th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.13 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.47 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Robert Morris.

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7
Hassan Haskins	Michigan	2021	280	0.380	4.8	106.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsRobert Morris	W36-14	—	12	78	6.5	0	3	17	0	0.47
2	@USC	L0-48	11.9	9	54	6.0	0	3	-6	0	0.09
3	vsUtah	L21-38	7.7	19	115	6.1	0	—	—	—	0.40
4	@Temple	L29-45	-20.3	27	148	5.5	1	—	—	—	0.08
6	@Boise State	L30-62	10.1	26	109	4.2	1	1	-1	0	-0.10
7	vsUNLV	L34-50	9.3	15	83	5.5	1	4	7	0	0.16
8	vsNew Mexico	L45-50	-14.8	24	79	3.3	2	3	16	0	0.09
9	@Wyoming	W27-25	-13.6	23	131	5.7	1	4	43	0	0.23
11	@Washington State	L28-49	1.3	2	3	1.5	0	—	—	—	-0.63
12	vsHawai'i	W55-10	-10.9	20	191	9.6	2	—	—	—	0.38
13	vsSan Diego State	W41-20	-15.4	9	52	5.8	0	—	—	—	0.05
14	@Colorado State	L37-42	-5.7	12	66	5.5	0	4	23	0	0.21

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

24.8%

Passing plays

4.6%

Rushing plays

48.1%

Standard downs

28.4%

Passing downs

16.0%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.15
Passing downs: 0.44
Pass / Rush EPA: -0.01 / 0.23

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).