#5Raheim Sanders

RB·South Carolina·2024 20222.5 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Raheim Sanders is a 2-year Featured Back for South Carolina. Raheim's 2024 season ranks in the 40th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 209 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Raheim Sanders's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Rushing

881 Rush yards11 Rush TD183 Carries4.8 Yards/carry

Receiving

27 Receptions316 Rec yards2 Rec TD11.7 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers

Efficiency40
Volume75
Explosiveness36
Consistency43
Receiving59

Player type

Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)40th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency43th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.26 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.95 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs Vanderbilt (SP+ 5).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
Hassan Haskins	Michigan	2021	280	0.380	4.8	106.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsOld Dominion	W23-19	-6.0	24	88	3.7	1	1	10	0	0.20
2	@Kentucky	W31-6	5.5	13	54	4.2	1	—	—	—	-0.11
3	vsLSU	L33-36	15.9	19	143	7.5	2	1	11	0	0.28
4	vsAkron	W50-7	-17.9	1	1	1.0	0	1	6	0	-0.23
6	vsOle Miss	L3-27	27.9	8	29	3.6	0	1	5	0	-0.15
7	@Alabama	L25-27	25.0	16	78	4.9	1	4	25	0	0.31
8	@Oklahoma	W35-9	9.5	15	33	2.2	1	1	7	0	-0.08
10	vsTexas A&M	W44-20	17.0	20	144	7.2	2	5	92	0	0.60
11	@Vanderbilt	W28-7	4.9	15	126	8.4	2	2	52	1	0.95
12	vsMissouri	W34-30	14.0	19	53	2.8	0	3	21	1	-0.10
13	vsWofford	W56-12	—	15	72	4.8	1	5	39	0	0.39
14	@Clemson	W17-14	13.3	18	60	3.3	0	3	48	0	0.08

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

26.3%

Passing plays

8.6%

Rushing plays

38.5%

Standard downs

30.0%

Passing downs

17.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.26
Passing downs: 0.22
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.68 / 0.18

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2022 — 2024 · 25 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2022	Arkansas	1.9	0.230	—	48.3
2024	South Carolina	2.5	0.310	+0.08	56.7

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.