Patrick Mahomes is a 2-year Dual-Threat QB for Texas Tech. Patrick's 2016 season ranks in the 63th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 681 plays — a average rate for the QB.
A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | Louisville | 2017 | 668 | 0.576 | 16.8 | 384.9 |
| Caleb Williams | USC | 2022 | 671 | 0.620 | 16.9 | 415.9 |
| Dwayne Haskins | Ohio State | 2018 | 652 | 0.643 | 17.5 | 419.0 |
| Lamar Jackson | Louisville | 2016 | 714 | 0.543 | 16.1 | 387.6 |
| Deshaun Watson | Clemson | 2015 | 716 | 0.584 | 16.2 | 418.1 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | C/ATT | Pass Yds | Pass TD | INT | QBR | Rush Yds | Rush TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsStephen F. Austin | W69-17 | — | 30/43 | 483 | 4 | 0 | 93.2 | 57 | 2 | 0.75 |
| 2 | @Arizona State | L55-68 | -3.0 | 38/53 | 540 | 5 | 2 | 82.5 | 44 | 1 | 0.57 |
| 3 | vsLouisiana Tech | W59-45 | 3.1 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
| Season | Team | Line value | WEPA/play | YoY Δ | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | Texas Tech | 15 | 0.503 | — | 378.4 |
| 2016 | Texas Tech | 17.5 | 0.544 | +0.04 | 390.0 |
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
C/ATT 30/46 · Pass Yds 586 · Pass TD 6 · INT 0
| 26/36 |
| 470 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 96.6 |
| 37 |
| 1 |
| 0.92 |
| 5 | vsKansas | W55-19 | -15.9 | 27/34 | 277 | 4 | 1 | 75.6 | 27 | 0 | 0.55 |
| 6 | @Kansas State | L38-44 | 8.2 | 45/62 | 504 | 2 | 1 | 78.6 | -3 | 3 | 0.31 |
| 7 | vsWest Virginia | L17-48 | 11.3 | 28/44 | 305 | 1 | 1 | 47.1 | -10 | 0 | 0.06 |
| 8 | vsOklahoma | L59-66 | 26.1 | 52/88 | 734 | 5 | 1 | 89.1 | 85 | 2 | 0.51 |
| 9 | @TCU | W27-24 | 11.0 | 24/39 | 206 | 2 | 1 | 77.3 | 39 | 1 | 0.15 |
| 10 | vsTexas | L37-45 | 10.6 | 36/59 | 367 | 3 | 1 | 39.9 | -16 | 0 | 0.14 |
| 11 | @Oklahoma State | L44-45 | 16.4 | 34/51 | 361 | 3 | 0 | 83.9 | 33 | 2 | 0.45 |
| 12 | @Iowa State | L10-66 | 0.7 | 18/36 | 219 | 1 | 2 | 34.4 | -2 | 0 | -0.13 |
| 13 | vsBaylor | W54-35 | 11.3 | 30/46 | 586 | 6 | 0 | 94.9 | -6 | 0 | 0.75 |