#7Mark Pope

WR·Massachusetts·2023

Mark Pope is a Versatile WR for Massachusetts. Mark's 2023 season produced 5.4 total EPA across 43 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Mark Pope's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Receiving

33 Receptions420 Rec yards1 Rec TD12.7 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs WR peers

Efficiency40
Volume21
Explosiveness38
Consistency45
Pass-Down75

Player type

Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)40th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency45th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.43 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 1.56 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs Army (SP+ -4).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Amare Jones	Tulane	2020	71	0.180	0.0	12.8
Brandon Chatman	Navy	2025	52	0.230	0.6	12.0
Justin Lynch	Temple	2021	63	0.240	0.3	15.1
Eli Heidenreich	Navy	2025	70	0.220	0.8	15.4
Amare Jones	Tulane	2019	58	0.230	0.8	13.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
0	@New Mexico State	W41-30	-1.8	1	3	3.0	0	3	—
1	@Auburn	L14-59	7.6	1	13	13.0	0	13	-0.73
2	vsMiami (OH)	L28-41	2.8	4	70	17.5	1	50	0.10
3	@Eastern Michigan	L17-19	-12.3	—	—	—	—	—	-0.28
4	vsNew Mexico	L31-34	-16.5	4	81	20.3	0	54	0.91
5	vsArkansas State	L28-52	-6.3	6	85	14.2	0	28	0.96
6	vsToledo	L24-41	3.7	4	20	5.0	0	15	-0.50
7	@Penn State	L0-63	23.5	2	9	4.5	0	9	1.44
9	@Army	W21-14	-4.0	1	10	10.0	0	10	1.56
10	vsMerrimack	W31-21	—	1	10	10.0	0	10	-0.28
12	@Liberty	L25-49	8.0	6	90	15.0	0	43	1.19
13	vsUConn	L18-31	-15.6	3	29	9.7	0	15	0.31

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

7.2%

Passing plays

13.4%

Rushing plays

1.4%

Standard downs

7.6%

Passing downs

6.4%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.08
Passing downs: 0.23
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.16 / -0.10

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).