#9Marcus Fulcher

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

• Usage share (volume)0.52
  Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
• EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
  Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
• Total EPA (value)0.41
  Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Marcus Fulcher's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs RB peers

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Usage & Situational · Pro

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).