#6Kyle Vantrease

QB·Georgia Southern·20226.7 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Kyle Vantrease is a Dual-Threat QB for Georgia Southern. Kyle's 2022 season ranks in the 10th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 613 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Kyle Vantrease's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2022 Production

Passing

370/603 Comp/Att4246 Pass yards27 Pass TD16 INT61.4% Comp %

Rushing

34 Rush yards3 Rush TD33 Carries1.0 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2022 · vs QB peers

Efficiency10
Volume100
Dual-Threat100
Consistency85
Clutch88

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)10th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency85th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.08 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.55 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Morgan State.

NIL Market Tier· 2022

On3 valuation ↗

Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Jordan Travis	Florida State	2021	690	0.476	10.1	328.3
Sam Hartman	Wake Forest	2021	647	0.556	11.8	359.6
Kyle McCord	Syracuse	2024	632	0.509	12.1	321.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsMorgan State	W59-7	—	29/46	367	4	1	46.8	4	0	0.55
2	@Nebraska	W45-42	-1.2	37/56	409	1	2	80.4	7	1	0.49
3	@UAB	L21-35	-0.5	24/50	204	1	3	30.6	24	0	0.04
4	vsBall State	W34-23	-14.9	26/39	310	2	0	74.0	15	1	0.33
5	@Coastal Carolina	L30-34	0.6	26/43	284	2	1	66.3	-7	0	0.43
6	@Georgia State	L33-41	-3.3	30/49	357	3	4	55.2	-2	0	0.34
7	vsJames Madison	W45-38	6.5	38/64	578	4	1	75.3	-2	0	0.46
8	@Old Dominion	W28-23	-13.0	22/27	192	1	0	75.0	3	0	0.49
10	vsSouth Alabama	L31-38	10.8	26/45	278	2	1	64.4	-4	0	0.26
11	@Louisiana	L17-36	2.0	28/49	325	1	0	56.8	-16	0	0.25
12	vsMarshall	L10-23	3.0	22/39	205	1	1	39.3	-14	0	-0.06
13	vsApp State	W51-48	1.7	34/51	385	3	1	77.4	17	1	0.36
1	vsBuffalo	L21-23	-9.2	28/45	352	2	1	—	9	0	0.38

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

63.3%

Passing plays

98.3%

Rushing plays

7.7%

Standard downs

56.3%

Passing downs

80.4%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.23
Passing downs: 0.47
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.33 / 0.41

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2022 · 13 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.