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John Mateer

#10John Mateer

Line value
8.2 pts
NFL Draft OutlookDay 2 (Rds 2–3)· model estimate based on position rank

John Mateer is a Dual-Threat QB for Washington State. John's 2024 season ranks in the 43th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 498 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

2024 Production

Passing
224/347 Comp/Att3139 Pass yards29 Pass TD7 INT64.6% Comp %
Rushing
826 Rush yards15 Rush TD178 Carries4.6 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

EfficiencyVolumeDual-ThreatConsistencyClutch
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)43th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency74th %ile · average
Key findings
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 1.73 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Portland State.

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Stetson BennettGeorgia20225090.63512.4323.0
Kyle McCordSyracuse20246320.50912.1321.4
Jordan TravisFlorida State20216900.47610.1328.3
Sam HartmanWake Forest20216470.55611.8359.6
Trace McSorleyPenn State20176260.51312.7321.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Portland State: +1.73 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Texas Tech: +0.13 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Washington: +0.26 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs San José State: +0.51 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Boise State: +0.23 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs Fresno State: -0.00 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Hawai'i: +0.82 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs San Diego State: +0.44 EPA/play9Wk 11 vs Utah State: +0.57 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs New Mexico: +0.64 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Oregon State: +0.57 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Wyoming: +0.20 EPA/play14
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsPortland StateW70-3011/173525099.15511.73
2vsTexas TechW37-164.39/191151163.019710.13
3vsWashingtonW24-193.117/342451175.56220.26
4vsSan José StateW54-52-5.526/463904278.311110.51
5@Boise StateL24-4510.126/373272161.52800.23
7@Fresno StateW25-17-3.817/3517201461-0.00
8vsHawai'iW42-10-10.923/272953094.23420.82
9@San Diego StateW29-26-15.419/272572060.84220.44
11vsUtah StateW49-28-10.418/241794087.25510.57
12@New MexicoL35-38-14.825/363754072.66510.64
13@Oregon StateL38-41-6.717/232502089.67520.57
14vsWyomingL14-15-13.616/221821123.65610.20

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
65.5%
Passing plays
97.6%
Rushing plays
35.8%
Standard downs
57.4%
Passing downs
86.3%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.35
Passing downs
0.53
Pass / Rush EPA
0.36 / 0.57

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
2024 · 12 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.