#21Jekail Middlebrook

RB·Middle Tennessee·2025

Jekail Middlebrook is a Pass-Catching Back for Middle Tennessee. Jekail's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 206 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jekail Middlebrook's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

752 Rush yards4 Rush TD140 Carries5.4 Yards/carry

Receiving

40 Receptions412 Rec yards3 Rec TD10.3 Yards/rec

Returns

8 Punt returns64 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency0
Volume78
Explosiveness48
Consistency64
Receiving83

Player type

Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency64th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸Peak game: 0.50 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Marshall (SP+ -5).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsAustin Peay	L14-34	—	11	48	4.4	0	2	21	0	-0.03
2	@Wisconsin	L10-42	-4.4	12	27	2.3	0	5	36	0	0.04
3	@Nevada	W14-13	-13.4	10	67	6.7	0	4	30	0	0.01
4	vsMarshall	L28-42	-4.5	6	89	14.8	0	4	47	0	0.50
5	@Kennesaw State	L16-24	-5.4	20	109	5.5	2	3	12	0	0.22
7	vsMissouri State	L20-22	-10.7	17	93	5.5	0	3	19	0	-0.01
9	@Delaware	L28-31	-10.9	11	68	6.2	1	5	53	0	0.27
10	vsJacksonville State	L21-24	-6.7	10	20	2.0	1	6	87	1	0.14
11	vsFlorida International	L30-56	-10.5	8	30	3.8	0	5	64	1	0.14
13	vsSam Houston	W31-17	-27.8	15	106	7.1	0	2	31	1	0.13
14	@New Mexico State	W31-24	-15.5	20	95	4.8	0	1	12	0	-0.01

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

27.3%

Passing plays

12.5%

Rushing plays

53.6%

Standard downs

28.9%

Passing downs

23.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.08
Passing downs: 0.18
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.23 / 0.06

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).