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Jayden Higgins
Jayden Higgins

#9Jayden Higgins

WR·Iowa State·2024

Jayden Higgins is a Slot Specialist WR for Iowa State. Jayden's 2024 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 88 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jayden Higgins's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving
87 Receptions1183 Rec yards9 Rec TD13.6 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume30
  • Explosiveness44
  • Consistency89
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Slot Specialist WR

The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.

3rd-down converterRoute technicianHigh passing-down share
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency89th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸12 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.16 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • ▸Peak game: 1.79 EPA/play in Wk 13 vs Utah (SP+ 8).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.790−1.79Wk 1 vs North Dakota: +1.56 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Iowa: +0.83 EPA/play2Wk 4 vs Arkansas State: +1.56 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Houston: +0.78 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Baylor: +1.53 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs West Virginia: +1.68 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs UCF: +1.31 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs Texas Tech: +1.56 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Kansas: +0.36 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Cincinnati: +1.05 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Utah: +1.79 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Kansas State: +1.67 EPA/play14Wk 15 vs Arizona State: +0.58 EPA/play15
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsNorth DakotaW21-3—57515.01211.56
2@IowaW20-1915.88688.51180.83
4vsArkansas StateW52-7-9.946516.31261.56
5@HoustonW20-0-8.28799.91200.78
6vsBaylorW43-218.4811614.51251.53
7@West VirginiaW28-162.1610217.00371.68
8vsUCFW38-352.86589.71121.31
10vsTexas TechL22-234.31014014.01241.56
11vsKansasL36-454.978812.60240.36
12vsCincinnatiW34-17-0.166911.50191.05
13@UtahW31-287.7915517.21391.79
14vsKansas StateW29-2114.135317.71211.67
15vsArizona StateL19-459.4711516.40250.58

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
10.6%
Passing plays
21.7%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
7.7%
Passing downs
17.1%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.91
Passing downs
1.44
Pass / Rush EPA
1.18 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.