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Javon Tracy
Javon Tracy

#11Javon Tracy

WR·Miami (OH)·2024

Javon Tracy is a Versatile WR for Miami (OH). Javon's 2024 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 57 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Javon Tracy's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving
57 Receptions818 Rec yards7 Rec TD14.4 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume25
  • Explosiveness49
  • Consistency90
  • Pass-Down36
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency90th %ile · elite
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸12 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.23 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • ▸Peak game: 1.93 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs Ball State (SP+ -20).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.930−1.93Wk 1 vs Northwestern: +1.88 EPA/play1Wk 3 vs Cincinnati: +1.76 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Notre Dame: +0.81 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Massachusetts: +1.69 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Toledo: +1.35 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Eastern Michigan: +1.00 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Ohio: +0.89 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Central Michigan: +1.31 EPA/play9Wk 11 vs Ball State: +1.93 EPA/play11Wk 13 vs Northern Illinois: +0.61 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Bowling Green: +0.98 EPA/play14Wk 15 vs Ohio: +1.11 EPA/play15
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsNorthwesternL6-13-8.211313.00131.88
3vsCincinnatiL16-27-0.124522.50371.76
4@Notre DameL3-2823.93227.30110.81
5vsMassachusettsW23-20-21.95499.81171.69
6@ToledoL20-30-2.51011911.91231.35
7@Eastern MichiganW38-14-13.323919.50221.00
8vsOhioW30-202.33248.0190.89
9vsCentral MichiganW46-7-15.8511823.61411.31
11@Ball StateW27-21-19.868514.21301.93
12vsKent StateW34-7-33.047619.0134—
13vsNorthern IllinoisW20-9-3.567913.20260.61
14@Bowling GreenW28-12-1.839130.31720.98
15vsOhioL3-382.37588.30151.11

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
8.8%
Passing plays
16.4%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
7.8%
Passing downs
10.9%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
1.26
Passing downs
1.18
Pass / Rush EPA
1.23 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.