Jaret Patterson is a 3-year Featured Back for Buffalo. Jaret's 2019 season ranks in the 75th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 320 plays — a above-average rate for the RB. Jaret's production has improved each season, a positive development trajectory.
The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D'Onta Foreman | Texas | 2016 | 332 | 0.340 | 5.3 | 112.9 |
| Mohamed Ibrahim | Minnesota | 2022 | 314 | 0.330 | 5.3 | 103.6 |
| Cameron Skattebo | Arizona State | 2024 | 309 | 0.410 | 6.2 | 126.7 |
| Jonathan Taylor | Wisconsin | 2018 | 297 | 0.360 | 5.0 | 106.9 |
| Jonathan Taylor | Wisconsin | 2017 | 307 | 0.350 | 4.8 | 107.4 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsRobert Morris | W38-10 | — | 12 | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.54 |
| 2 | @Penn State | L13-45 | 24.3 | 23 | 71 | 3.1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 0.18 |
| 3 | @Liberty | L17-35 | -2.6 | 17 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
| Season | Team | Line value | WEPA/play | YoY Δ | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | Buffalo | 2.7 | 0.340 | — | 63.6 |
| 2019 | Buffalo | 5.6 | 0.370 | +0.03 | 118.0 |
| 2020 | Buffalo | 8.7 | 0.540 | +0.17 | 86.9 |
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
Car 32 · Rush Yds 173 · Avg 5.4 · Rush TD 2
| 69 |
| 4.1 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 0.06 |
| 4 | vsTemple | W38-22 | 3.2 | 27 | 133 | 4.9 | 2 | — | — | — | 0.27 |
| 5 | @Miami (OH) | L20-34 | -9.2 | 22 | 183 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0.43 |
| 6 | vsOhio | L20-21 | 3.7 | 13 | 52 | 4.0 | 0 | 1 | 61 | 0 | 0.35 |
| 8 | @Akron | W21-0 | -29.8 | 17 | 88 | 5.2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0.19 |
| 9 | vsCentral Michigan | W43-20 | -4.4 | 28 | 149 | 5.3 | 1 | 2 | 59 | 0 | 0.32 |
| 10 | @Eastern Michigan | W43-14 | -8.6 | 33 | 160 | 4.8 | 2 | — | — | — | 0.32 |
| 12 | @Kent State | L27-30 | -10.2 | 30 | 141 | 4.7 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0.15 |
| 13 | vsToledo | W49-30 | -13.7 | 32 | 192 | 6.0 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 1 | 0.52 |
| 14 | vsBowling Green | W49-7 | -27.5 | 26 | 298 | 11.5 | 6 | — | — | — | 0.85 |
| 1 | vsCharlotte | W31-9 | -6.3 | 32 | 173 | 5.4 | 2 | — | — | — | 0.41 |
