Ismail Mahdi is a Explosive Back for Texas State. Ismail's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 193 plays — a developing rate for the RB.
Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.
Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.
Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.
Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.
| Player | Team | Yr | Plays | WEPA/play | Line val | Total EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saquon Barkley | Penn State | 2016 | 288 | 0.340 | 3.9 | 97.9 |
| Dalvin Cook | Florida State | 2016 | 292 | 0.340 | 4.3 | 99.3 |
| Breece Hall | Iowa State | 2020 | 301 | 0.340 | 4.5 | 102.3 |
| Eno Benjamin | Arizona State | 2018 | 316 | 0.330 | 4.6 | 104.3 |
| Hassan Haskins | Michigan | 2021 | 280 | 0.380 | 4.8 | 106.4 |
Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.
| Wk | Opponent | Result | Opp SP+ | Car | Rush Yds | Avg | Rush TD | Rec | Rec Yds | Rec TD | EPA/play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsLamar | W34-27 | — | 28 | 156 | 5.6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.03 |
| 2 | vsUTSA | W49-10 | 2.2 | 9 | 26 | 2.9 | 0 | 4 | 56 | 0 | -0.18 |
| 3 | vsArizona State | L28-31 | 9.4 | 14 |
Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).
Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.
Car 20 · Rush Yds 147 · Avg 7.4 · Rush TD 1
| 68 |
| 4.9 |
| 0 |
| 5 |
| 28 |
| 0 |
| 0.13 |
| 5 | vsSam Houston | L39-40 | -6.9 | 17 | 57 | 3.4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.02 |
| 6 | @Troy | W38-17 | -6.6 | 12 | 36 | 3.0 | 1 | — | — | — | -0.02 |
| 7 | vsArkansas State | W41-9 | -9.9 | 17 | 164 | 9.6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.44 |
| 8 | @Old Dominion | L14-24 | -6.0 | 25 | 139 | 5.6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 0.32 |
| 10 | vsLouisiana | L17-23 | 4.8 | 14 | 82 | 5.9 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 0.24 |
| 11 | @UL Monroe | W38-17 | -16.7 | 9 | 45 | 5.0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 12 | vsSouthern Miss | W58-3 | -25.6 | 3 | 13 | 4.3 | 0 | 4 | 45 | 2 | 0.73 |
| 13 | vsGeorgia State | L44-52 | -17.9 | 15 | 58 | 3.9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 0 | 0.24 |
| 14 | @South Alabama | W45-38 | 2.8 | 20 | 147 | 7.4 | 1 | — | — | — | 0.27 |