#0Dorian Thomas

TE·New Mexico·2025

Dorian Thomas is a Versatile TE for New Mexico. Dorian's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 76 plays — a elite rate for the TE.

What projects, and what doesn't · TEs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.42
Beats guessing the TE average by 9%. n=2,225 TE seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.04
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=2,016 TE seasons
Total EPA (value)0.46
Beats guessing the TE average by 13%. n=2,016 TE seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Dorian Thomas's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving

56 Receptions560 Rec yards4 Rec TD10.0 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs TE peers

Efficiency100
Volume28
Explosiveness20
Consistency69
Pass-Down6

Player type

Versatile TE

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency69th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.51 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.26 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs Boise State (SP+ 3).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Seth Green	Minnesota	2018	83	0.390	0.0	32.4
Johnny Langan	Rutgers	2020	59	0.300	0.0	17.7
Evan Svoboda	Wyoming	2024	75	0.290	0.5	21.8
Jordan Myers	Rice	2021	59	0.270	0.2	15.9
Ty Thompson	Tulane	2024	48	0.420	0.7	20.2

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	@Michigan	L17-34	12.4	10	71	7.1	2	12	0.59
2	vsIdaho State	W32-22	—	5	56	11.2	0	25	0.30
3	@UCLA	W35-10	-8.7	3	41	13.7	0	20	0.71
5	vsNew Mexico State	W38-20	-15.5	6	79	13.2	1	34	0.49
6	@San José State	L28-35	-14.3	4	40	10.0	0	15	0.11
7	@Boise State	L25-41	3.1	4	61	15.3	1	26	1.26
8	vsNevada	W24-22	-13.4	5	56	11.2	0	28	0.62
9	vsUtah State	W33-14	-3.1	2	19	9.5	0	17	-0.09
10	@UNLV	W40-35	4.3	4	29	7.3	0	17	0.41
12	vsColorado State	W20-17	-15.6	3	45	15.0	0	30	0.02
13	@Air Force	W20-3	-3.2	2	17	8.5	0	10	-0.10
14	vsSan Diego State	W23-17	6.7	5	31	6.2	0	10	0.10
20	vsMinnesota	L17-20	1.5	3	15	5.0	0	11	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

9.9%

Passing plays

21.6%

Rushing plays

0.0%

Standard downs

9.7%

Passing downs

10.3%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.44
Passing downs: 0.18
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.36 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).