#23Devontae Booker

RB·Utah·2015 20141.9 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Devontae Booker is a 2-year Featured Back for Utah. Devontae's 2015 season ranks in the 5th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 314 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Devontae Booker's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2015 Production

Rushing

1261 Rush yards11 Rush TD268 Carries4.7 Yards/carry

Receiving

37 Receptions318 Rec yards0 Rec TD8.6 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2015 · vs RB peers

Efficiency5
Volume100
Explosiveness34
Consistency69
Receiving66

Player type

Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)5th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency69th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used RBs by play share.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.18 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.40 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Fresno State (SP+ -13).

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Donnel Pumphrey	San Diego State	2016	344	0.320	4.2	110.1
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3
Eno Benjamin	Arizona State	2018	316	0.330	4.6	104.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	EPA/play
1	vsMichigan	W24-17	19.7	22	69	3.1	1	7	57	0.26
2	vsUtah State	W24-14	-0.1	31	120	3.9	1	2	13	0.11
3	@Fresno State	W45-24	-12.6	31	156	5.0	2	5	56	0.40
4	@Oregon	W62-20	15.9	22	98	4.5	0	1	23	0.13
6	vsCalifornia	W30-24	12.1	34	222	6.5	2	4	45	0.31
7	vsArizona State	W34-18	10.2	21	118	5.6	2	4	14	-0.09
8	@USC	L24-42	16.8	14	62	4.4	0	6	49	-0.06
9	vsOregon State	W27-12	-10.1	25	121	4.8	1	3	25	0.27
10	@Washington	W34-23	9.7	34	150	4.4	1	2	21	0.05
11	@Arizona	L30-37	4.7	34	145	4.3	1	3	15	0.12

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

43.4%

Passing plays

15.8%

Rushing plays

65.4%

Standard downs

49.8%

Passing downs

28.0%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.15
Passing downs: 0.19
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.37 / 0.12

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2014 — 2015 · 23 games

Season	Team	Line value	WEPA/play	YoY Δ	Total EPA
2014	Utah	2.1	0.210	—	61.5
2015	Utah	1.9	0.210	—	58.0

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.