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Darvon Hubbard

#4Darvon Hubbard

Darvon Hubbard is a Pass-Catching Back for Temple. Darvon's 2023 season ranks in the 53th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 101 plays — a average rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Darvon Hubbard's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Rushing
412 Rush yards3 Rush TD82 Carries5.0 Yards/carry
Receiving
27 Receptions249 Rec yards0 Rec TD9.2 Yards/rec
Returns
3 Kick returns36 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency53
  • Volume38
  • Explosiveness40
  • Consistency63
  • Receiving76
Player type
Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)53th %ile · average
Game-to-game consistency63th %ile · average
Key findings
  • 5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.24 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 1.51 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Norfolk State.

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗
Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Travis EtienneClemson0.4704.7100.1

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.5101.51Wk 1 vs Akron: -0.19 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Rutgers: +0.32 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Norfolk State: +1.51 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Miami: +0.41 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Tulsa: +0.44 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs UTSA: +0.32 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs North Texas: +0.44 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs SMU: +0.04 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs Navy: -0.21 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs South Florida: +0.28 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs UAB: +0.20 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Memphis: +0.59 EPA/play13
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsAkronW24-21-21.610353.50130-0.19
2@RutgersL7-363.54143.5031200.32
3vsNorfolk StateW41-945714.3113201.51
4vsMiamiL7-419.6591.8024700.41
5@TulsaL26-48-13.73134.301400.44
6vsUTSAL34-495.411252.3089500.32
7@North TexasL14-45-6.711696.312000.44
8vsSMUL0-5510.13144.701000.04
10vsNavyW32-18-13.7740.601120-0.21
11@South FloridaL23-27-6.68486.0021100.28
12@UABL24-34-14.76294.8021300.20
13vsMemphisL21-453.510959.5132000.59

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
13.2%
Passing plays
5.5%
Rushing plays
26.1%
Standard downs
16.2%
Passing downs
7.6%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.26
Passing downs
0.49
Pass / Rush EPA
0.93 / 0.10

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.