#5Brett Gabbert

QB·Miami (OH)·2024

Brett Gabbert is a Dual-Threat QB for Miami (OH). Brett's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 389 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Brett Gabbert's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Passing

217/379 Comp/Att2921 Pass yards21 Pass TD11 INT57.3% Comp %

Rushing

6 Rush yards1 Rush TD55 Carries0.1 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Dual-Threat61
Consistency67
Clutch78

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency67th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 1.02 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs Eastern Michigan (SP+ -13).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsNorthwestern	L6-13	-8.2	22/37	227	0	2	35.3	-21	0	0.01
3	vsCincinnati	L16-27	-0.1	23/35	339	2	1	43.5	-5	0	0.16
4	@Notre Dame	L3-28	23.9	14/35	119	0	2	24.4	-9	0	-0.33
5	vsMassachusetts	W23-20	-21.9	16/25	181	1	1	32.4	15	0	0.35
6	@Toledo	L20-30	-2.5	23/46	296	2	1	41.9	-4	0	0.22
7	@Eastern Michigan	W38-14	-13.3	10/13	222	4	0	85.5	29	0	1.02
8	vsOhio	W30-20	2.3	14/21	178	3	0	67.9	5	0	0.47
9	vsCentral Michigan	W46-7	-15.8	10/12	165	1	0	39.1	-15	0	0.62
11	@Ball State	W27-21	-19.8	16/32	219	3	0	60.8	14	0	0.49
12	vsKent State	W34-7	-33.0	10/22	202	2	0	28.6	-5	0	—
13	vsNorthern Illinois	W20-9	-3.5	14/23	207	0	1	42.3	-12	0	0.13
14	@Bowling Green	W28-12	-1.8	18/28	255	3	2	85.6	—	—	0.34
15	vsOhio	L3-38	2.3	14/25	127	0	1	54.0	6	0	0.06
20	vsColorado State	W43-17	-5.7	13/25	184	0	0	33.5	8	1	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

53.8%

Passing plays

94.6%

Rushing plays

7.6%

Standard downs

50.1%

Passing downs

61.1%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.16
Passing downs: 0.35
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.23 / 0.20

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).