#6Boston Scott

RB·Louisiana Tech·20171.8 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Boston Scott is a Explosive Back for Louisiana Tech. Boston's 2017 season ranks in the 18th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 189 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Boston Scott's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2017 Production

Rushing

1040 Rush yards8 Rush TD182 Carries5.7 Yards/carry

Receiving

20 Receptions181 Rec yards1 Rec TD9.1 Yards/rec

Returns

10 Kick returns183 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2017 · vs RB peers

Efficiency18
Volume64
Explosiveness54
Consistency64
Receiving51

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)18th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency64th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.98 EPA/play in Wk 5 vs South Alabama (SP+ -12).

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsNorthwestern State	W52-24	—	9	55	6.1	0	4	55	0	0.53
2	vsMississippi State	L21-57	16.0	13	96	7.4	0	2	8	0	-0.01
3	@Western Kentucky	W23-22	-4.9	8	29	3.6	0	1	2	0	-0.02
4	@South Carolina	L16-17	7.8	8	17	2.1	0	1	10	0	0.09
5	vsSouth Alabama	W34-16	-12.0	6	76	12.7	1	2	26	0	0.98
6	@UAB	L22-23	—	14	48	3.4	0	1	23	0	-0.28
8	vsSouthern Miss	L27-34	-3.4	11	106	9.6	1	—	—	—	0.53
9	@Rice	W42-28	-23.6	17	87	5.1	3	—	—	—	0.48
10	vsNorth Texas	L23-24	-4.5	16	64	4.0	1	2	8	0	0.10
11	vsFlorida Atlantic	L23-48	5.1	19	87	4.6	1	5	24	0	0.09
12	@UTEP	W42-21	-27.4	22	134	6.1	0	2	25	1	0.29
13	vsUTSA	W20-6	-2.5	20	138	6.9	1	—	—	—	0.34
1	vsSMU	W51-10	-2.9	19	103	5.4	0	—	—	—	0.23

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

22.3%

Passing plays

6.2%

Rushing plays

38.4%

Standard downs

26.8%

Passing downs

12.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.15
Passing downs: 0.51
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.26 / 0.21

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2017 · 13 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.