#1Anthony Eager

WR·South Alabama·2025

Anthony Eager is a Slot Specialist WR for South Alabama. Anthony's 2025 season ranks in the 67th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 63 plays — a average rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Anthony Eager's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving

40 Receptions339 Rec yards1 Rec TD8.5 Yards/rec

Returns

1 Kick returns-8 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Efficiency67
Volume21
Explosiveness10
Consistency0
Pass-Down100

Player type

Slot Specialist WR

The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.

3rd-down converterRoute technicianHigh passing-down share

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)67th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.32 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 1.91 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Morgan State.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Amare Jones	Tulane	2020	71	0.180	0.0	12.8
Davis Bryson	Kennesaw State	2024	97	0.200	0.0	19.4
Justin Lynch	Temple	2021	63	0.240	0.3	15.1
Hyleck Foster	Marshall	2015	101	0.180	0.5	18.2
Brandon Chatman	Navy	2025	52	0.230	0.6	12.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	vsMorgan State	W38-21	—	2	53	26.5	1	34	1.91
2	vsTulane	L31-33	6.3	2	7	3.5	0	4	-0.87
3	@Auburn	L15-31	11.6	8	55	6.9	0	14	0.58
4	vsCoastal Carolina	L20-38	-15.1	4	20	5.0	0	9	0.03
5	@North Texas	L22-36	13.8	5	20	4.0	0	15	-0.27
6	@Troy	L24-31	-4.8	1	-2	-2.0	0	0	-1.86
8	vsArkansas State	L14-15	-8.8	2	7	3.5	0	9	-0.20
9	@Georgia State	W38-31	-24.5	1	11	11.0	0	11	-0.26
10	vsLouisiana	L22-31	-10.1	3	28	9.3	0	20	0.04
12	@UL Monroe	W26-14	-21.6	5	83	16.6	0	48	0.99
13	vsSouthern Miss	W42-35	-7.1	4	37	9.3	0	15	0.43
14	@Texas State	L26-49	2.3	3	20	6.7	0	12	0.47

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

7.5%

Passing plays

18.3%

Rushing plays

0.8%

Standard downs

6.2%

Passing downs

10.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: -0.18
Passing downs: 0.58
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.10 / 1.04

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).