Virginia Lynchburg vs. Merrimack: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
Virginia Lynchburg0-2
Merrimack
▸Final
Duane Stadium
VIRGTeam statsMERR
74Total yards370
78Pass32
-4Rush338
7First downs19
0-103rd down4-10
2Turnovers0
34:18Possession25:42
- Q4 12:28MERRJohn Perry Jr. 1 Yd Run (Carlton Thai Kick)0–44
- Q2 1:10MERRJalen McDonald 21 Yd pass from Gavin McCusker (Lliam Davis Kick)0–37
- Q2 10:38MERRBrendon Wyatt 25 Yd Run (Lliam Davis Kick)0–30
- Q2 11:39MERRTyvon Edmonds Jr. 1 Yd Run (Lliam Davis Kick)0–23
- Q2 13:52MERRTeam Safety0–16
- Q1 3:10MERRGavin McCusker 15 Yd Run (Lliam Davis Kick)0–14
- Q1 13:18MERRBrendon Wyatt 43 Yd Run (Lliam Davis Kick)0–7
Kickoff32 plays →Final
Tap or hover on the chart to see play details
MERR (top)VIRG (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: MERR 100%
Virginia Lynchburg
- PassLangston Stewart 5/14, 64 YDS, 1 INT
- RushJacob Walker 7 CAR, 15 YDS
- RecWesley Nchinda 2 REC, 27 YDS
Merrimack
- PassGavin McCusker 2/6, 32 YDS, 1 TD
- RushTyvon Edmonds Jr. 30 CAR, 213 YDS, 1 TD
- RecJalen McDonald 1 REC, 21 YDS, 1 TD
97.1sper snap · slower the national 24.5s
fastnational avgslow
Snaps run
27
Points / snap
1.63
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsMERR up 44 entering the 4th quarter. Across 178 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
MERR went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Virginia Lynchburg vs. Merrimack?
Virginia Lynchburg 0, Merrimack 44.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (MERR) was correct.
VIRG
MERR
—
Success rate
37%
—
EPA / pass
-0.47
—
EPA / rush
0.16
—
Early-down success
46%
—
Pass success
0%
—
Rush success
42%
—
Explosive play rate (15+ yds)
4%
—
Stuffed rush rate
17%
—
Pass rate
11%
—
Avg 3rd-down distance
7.0
VIRG
—
0 scrimmage snaps
MERR
7.0 yards to go on 3rd down
27 scrimmage snaps
| VIRG | MERR | |
|---|---|---|
| 74 | Total yards | 370 |
| 78 | Passing yards | 32 |
| -4 | Rushing yards | 338 |
| 7 | First downs | 19 |
| 0-10 | 3rd down | 4-10 |
| 0-0 | 4th down | 0-0 |
| 6/16 | Comp/Att | 2/6 |
| 4.9 | Yards per pass | 5.3 |
| -0.1 | Yards per rush | 6.6 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 10-76 | Penalties | 6-50 |
| 34:18 | Possession | 25:42 |
VIRG
0/0 with the model
nothing given up
MERR
1/3 with the model
−1.4 pts · −0.0% win prob
Costliest call
Q3 7:47 MERR punt on 4th & 1 at MERR 25. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.84 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finishVIRG 0/0 scoring drives← own end zone →MERR 0/10 scoring drives
MERRTD4 pl, 70 yds· own 30Q1
MERRPUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 17Q1
MERRPUNT5 pl, 18 yds· own 3Q1
MERRPUNT5 pl, 13 yds· own 41Q1
MERRTD6 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q2
MERRPUNT4 pl, -1 yds· own 23Q2
MERRTD7 pl, 60 yds· own 40Q2
MERRPUNT4 pl, 9 yds· own 16Q3
MERRPUNT3 pl, 8 yds· own 32Q3
MERRTD11 pl, 53 yds· own 47Q3
- Q4 12:28MERRJohn Perry Jr. 1 Yd Run (Carlton Thai Kick)0–44
- Q2 1:10MERRJalen McDonald 21 Yd pass from Gavin McCusker (Lliam Davis Kick)0–37
- Q2 10:38MERRBrendon Wyatt 25 Yd Run (Lliam Davis Kick)0–30
- Q2 11:39MERRTyvon Edmonds Jr. 1 Yd Run (Lliam Davis Kick)0–23
- Q2 13:52MERRTeam Safety0–16
- Q1 3:10MERRGavin McCusker 15 Yd Run (Lliam Davis Kick)0–14
- Q1 13:18MERRBrendon Wyatt 43 Yd Run (Lliam Davis Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOne or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →