Richmond vs. Virginia: Final Score, Recap & Advanced Stats

Richmond

▸

Virginia

Final

Scott Stadium

	1	2	3	4	T
RICH	6	10	7	14	37
UVA	0	7	0	13	20

RICHTeam statsUVA

524Total yards302

337Pass264

187Rush38

24First downs19

10-173rd down2-10

0Turnovers4

39:46Possession20:14

Q4 1:38UVAKeeon Johnson 15 Yd pass from Kurt Benkert (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)37–20
Q4 3:51RICHGordon Collins 55 Yd Run (Griffin Trau Kick)37–14
Q4 4:16UVAOlamide Zaccheaus 25 Yd pass from Kurt Benkert (Dylan Sims Kick)30–14
Q4 10:32RICHBrian Brown 11 Yd pass from Kyle Lauletta (Griffin Trau Kick)30–7
Q3 4:54RICHTyler Wilkins 5 Yd pass from Kyle Lauletta (Griffin Trau Kick)23–7
Q2 5:58RICHRicky Segers 50 Yd Field Goal 16–7
Q2 11:19UVADoni Dowling 20 Yd pass from Kurt Benkert (Dylan Sims Kick)13–7
Q2 13:00RICHTyler Wilkins 11 Yd pass from Kyle Lauletta (Griffin Trau Kick)13–0
Q1 6:45RICHGriffin Trau 35 Yd Field Goal 6–0
Q1 10:09RICHGriffin Trau 28 Yd Field Goal 3–0

How the model called it

Market line

UVA −14

Against the number

RICH covered

line UVA −14

Kickoff148 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

UVA (top)RICH (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: UVA 0%

Closing line

UVA −14

Closing total

—

Model line

—

Actual result

RICH 37 – 20 UVA

consensus, liveUVA −14

Richmond

PassKyle Lauletta 24/35, 337 YDS, 3 TD
RushGordon Collins 13 CAR, 114 YDS, 1 TD
RecBrian Brown 7 REC, 88 YDS, 1 TD

Virginia

PassKurt Benkert 26/34, 264 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
RushAlbert Reid 6 CAR, 28 YDS
RecOlamide Zaccheaus 5 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD

26.5sper snap · slower the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

132

Points / snap

0.43

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

RICH up 16 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,243 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

96%

RICH went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WNew Mexico State vs Western Illinois58-21 WBaylor vs Long Island University30-7 WFlorida vs Tennessee29-16 WSan Diego vs Dayton40-25 WKentucky vs Florida33-14

FAQ

What was the final score of Richmond vs. Virginia?

Richmond 37, Virginia 20.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

No — the model picked UVA, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.

RICH

UVA

46%

Success rate

50%

0.69

EPA / pass

0.17

0.06

EPA / rush

-0.35

42%

Early-down success

55%

54%

Pass success

58%

39%

Rush success

33%

16%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

16%

18%

Stuffed rush rate

28%

49%

Pass rate

68%

7.2

Avg 3rd-down distance

6.6

RICH

7.2 yards to go on 3rd down

76 scrimmage snaps

UVA

6.6 yards to go on 3rd down

56 scrimmage snaps

RICH		UVA
524	Total yards	302
337	Passing yards	264
187	Rushing yards	38
24	First downs	19
10-17	3rd down	2-10
0-0	4th down	2-3
24/35	Comp/Att	26/34
9.6	Yards per pass	7.8
4.6	Yards per rush	1.8
0	Turnovers	4
8-70	Penalties	0-0
39:46	Possession	20:14

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →

RICHTeam statsUVA

Scoring plays

How the model called it

Win probability

How the line closed

Leaders

Tempo

This exact spot, historically

Fourth downs

FAQ

What was the final score of Richmond vs. Virginia?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Situational splits

Team stats

Fourth downs

Drive chart

Scoring plays

Model prediction

The matchup, in context

Richmond vs. Virginia: Final Score & Recap

RICHTeam statsUVA

How the model called it

What was the final score of Richmond vs. Virginia?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?