Rynearson StadiumClosing line: EMU -22 · LONG covered
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LONG | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 28 |
| EMU | 3 | 7 | 0 | 13 | 23 |
Team stats
LONGthis game · better side highlightedEMU
479
Total yards
311248
Passing yards
189231
Rushing yards
12221
First downs
1711-17 · 65%
Third down
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Win Probability
Hover over the chart to see play details
EMU (top)LONG (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: EMU 0%
Drive-by-drive
LONG 4/10 scoring drives← own end zone →EMU 4/10 scoring drives
EMUPUNT3 pl, 9 yds· own 31Q1
LONGTD5 pl, 90 yds· own 10Q1
EMUFG10 pl, 58 yds· own 28Q1
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
LONG up 4 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,449 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
65%
LONG went on to win
A genuinely vulnerable lead — comebacks are common
FAQ
What was the final score of Long Island University vs. Eastern Michigan?
Long Island University 28, Eastern Michigan 23.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (LONG) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
Called it — I had LONG pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.