Sat, Aug 30, 11:00 PM
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUST | 14 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 34 |
| MTSU | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 |
AUST up 10 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,140 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Austin Peay 34, Middle Tennessee 14.
Yes — the model's pick (AUST) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
Called it — I had AUST pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.
Chris Parson pass complete to Shemar Kirk for 36 yds to the MTSU 1 for a 1ST down
Chris Parson pass complete to Jaden Robinson for 22 yds for a TD (Carson Smith KICK)
Chris Parson pass complete to Shemar Kirk for 22 yds to the MTSU 24 for a 1ST down
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
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