New Hampshire vs. UCF: Final Score, Recap & Advanced Stats

New Hampshire

UCF

▸

Final

FBC Mortgage Stadium

	1	2	3	4	T
NEW	0	3	0	0	3
UCF	6	23	28	0	57

NEW Team statsUCF

162Total yards639

95Pass185

67Rush454

9First downs27

2-153rd down4-11

2Turnovers2

30:27Possession29:33

Q3 1:28UCFMyles Montgomery 25 Yd Run (Colton Boomer Kick)3–57
Q3 3:05UCFJohnny Richardson 22 Yd pass from KJ Jefferson (Colton Boomer Kick)3–50
Q3 6:39UCFPeny Boone 59 Yd Run (Colton Boomer Kick)3–43
Q3 9:15UCFMyles Montgomery 49 Yd pass from KJ Jefferson (Colton Boomer Kick)3–36
Q2 0:43UCFRJ Harvey 13 Yd Run (Colton Boomer Kick)3–29
Q2 4:31NEW Nick Mazzie 38 Yd Field Goal 3–22
Q2 9:40UCFRJ Harvey 1 Yd Run (Colton Boomer Kick)0–22
Q2 13:12UCFTeam Safety 0–15
Q2 14:45UCFKJ Jefferson 3 Yd Run (Colton Boomer Kick)0–13
Q1 4:56UCFColton Boomer 44 Yd Field Goal 0–6
Q1 10:55UCFColton Boomer 25 Yd Field Goal 0–3

How the model called it

Market line

UCF −38.5

Against the number

UCF covered

line UCF −38.5

Kickoff158 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

UCF (top)NEW (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: UCF 100%

Closing line

UCF −38.5

Closing total

58.5

Model line

—

Actual result

NEW 3 – 57 UCF

New Hampshire

PassSeth Morgan 14/28, 95 YDS, 2 INT
RushMatt Vezza 2 CAR, 21 YDS
RecLogan Tomlinson 6 REC, 73 YDS

UCF

PassKJ Jefferson 7/14, 164 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
RushRJ Harvey 11 CAR, 142 YDS, 2 TD
RecKobe Hudson 2 REC, 61 YDS

25.9sper snap · in line with the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

134

Points / snap

0.45

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

UCF up 54 entering the 4th quarter. Across 56 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

UCF went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WToledo vs Texas Southern71-3 WTennessee State vs Lincoln (CA)54-0 WKennesaw State vs Virginia University Of Lynchburg63-3 WGeorgia vs Florida State63-3 WCentral Michigan vs Central Connecticut65-10

FAQ

What was the final score of New Hampshire vs. UCF?

New Hampshire 3, UCF 57.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (UCF) was correct.

NEW

UCF

22%

Success rate

54%

-0.09

EPA / pass

-0.01

-0.29

EPA / rush

0.42

24%

Early-down success

58%

28%

Pass success

35%

17%

Rush success

62%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

18%

35%

Stuffed rush rate

50%

Pass rate

30%

7.5

Avg 3rd-down distance

5.7

NEW

7.5 yards to go on 3rd down

58 scrimmage snaps

UCF

5.7 yards to go on 3rd down

76 scrimmage snaps

NEW		UCF
162	Total yards	639
95	Passing yards	185
67	Rushing yards	454
9	First downs	27
2-15	3rd down	4-11
0-0	4th down	1-3
14/28	Comp/Att	11/22
3.4	Yards per pass	8.4
2.3	Yards per rush	8.4
2	Turnovers	2
7-40	Penalties	3-35
30:27	Possession	29:33

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →

NEW Team statsUCF

Scoring plays

How the model called it

Win probability

How the line closed

Leaders

Tempo

This exact spot, historically

Fourth downs

FAQ

What was the final score of New Hampshire vs. UCF?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Situational splits

Team stats

Fourth downs

Drive chart

Scoring plays

Model prediction

New Hampshire vs. UCF: Final Score & Recap

NEW Team statsUCF

How the model called it

What was the final score of New Hampshire vs. UCF?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?