BYU vs. Texas: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
BYUTeam statsTEX
- Q4 8:05BYUAdam Hine 8 Yd Run (Trevor Samson Kick)41–7
- Q3 0:29TEXJohn Harris 13 Yd pass from Tyrone Swoopes (Nick Rose Kick)34–7
- Q3 4:33BYUTaysom Hill 1 Yd Run (Trevor Samson Kick)34–0
- Q3 5:51BYUTaysom Hill 2 Yd Run (Trevor Samson Kick)27–0
- Q3 9:22BYUAdam Hine 16 Yd Run (Trevor Samson Kick)20–0
- Q3 12:06BYUTaysom Hill 30 Yd Run (Trevor Samson Kick)13–0
- Q2 6:34BYUTrevor Samson 29 Yd Field Goal 6–0
- Q1 3:30BYUTrevor Samson 21 Yd Field Goal 3–0
How the model called it
- PassTaysom Hill 18/28, 181 YDS, 1 INT
- RushTaysom Hill 24 CAR, 99 YDS, 3 TD
- RecJordan Leslie 7 REC, 85 YDS
- PassTyrone Swoopes 20/31, 176 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
- RushJohnathan Gray 14 CAR, 47 YDS
- RecJohn Harris 8 REC, 77 YDS, 1 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsBYU up 27 entering the 4th quarter. Across 532 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q3 12:06BYU +20%
Taysom Hill run for 30 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)
- Q2 6:34BYU +10%
Trevor Samson 29 yd FG GOOD
- Q3 9:22BYU +9%
Adam Hine run for 16 yds for a TD, (Trevor Samson KICK)
- Q1 3:30BYU +9%
Trevor Samson 21 yd FG GOOD
- Q2 0:46BYU +5%
Taysom Hill run for no gain to the BYU 25
FAQ
What was the final score of BYU vs. Texas?
BYU 41, Texas 7.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked TEX, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
| BYU | TEX | |
|---|---|---|
| 429 | Total yards | 258 |
| 181 | Passing yards | 176 |
| 248 | Rushing yards | 82 |
| 28 | First downs | 15 |
| 6-15 | 3rd down | 3-15 |
| 1-2 | 4th down | 1-2 |
| 18/28 | Comp/Att | 20/31 |
| 6.5 | Yards per pass | 5.7 |
| 4.1 | Yards per rush | 2.3 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 6-40 | Penalties | 6-64 |
| 34:07 | Possession | 25:21 |
Costliest call
Q1 15:00 TEX punt on 4th & 1 at TEX 27. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.93 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 8:05BYUAdam Hine 8 Yd Run (Trevor Samson Kick)41–7
- Q3 0:29TEXJohn Harris 13 Yd pass from Tyrone Swoopes (Nick Rose Kick)34–7
- Q3 4:33BYUTaysom Hill 1 Yd Run (Trevor Samson Kick)34–0
- Q3 5:51BYUTaysom Hill 2 Yd Run (Trevor Samson Kick)27–0
- Q3 9:22BYUAdam Hine 16 Yd Run (Trevor Samson Kick)20–0
- Q3 12:06BYUTaysom Hill 30 Yd Run (Trevor Samson Kick)13–0
- Q2 6:34BYUTrevor Samson 29 Yd Field Goal 6–0
- Q1 3:30BYUTrevor Samson 21 Yd Field Goal 3–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (TEX Elo 1717, BYU Elo 1695 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects TEX -3.3 (60% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2014
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#6 of 94 in 2014 by biggest miss · #71 of 94 in 2014 by longest odds.
The 2014 upset archive →| BYU | TEX | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.38 | points / drive | 1.71 |
| 1.96 | allowed / drive | 1.45 |
| 31% | three-and-outs | 35% |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →