#1Tyler Huntley

QB·Utah·20197.0 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Tyler Huntley is a Clutch Passer for Utah. Tyler's 2019 season ranks in the 55th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 380 plays — a average rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Tyler Huntley's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2019 Production

Passing

220/301 Comp/Att3092 Pass yards19 Pass TD4 INT73.1% Comp %

Rushing

290 Rush yards5 Rush TD104 Carries2.8 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2019 · vs QB peers

Efficiency55
Volume100
Dual-Threat39
Consistency80
Clutch100

Player type

Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)55th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency80th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸8 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.11 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 1.11 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs UCLA (SP+ -4).

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	@BYU	W30-12	1.3	13/16	106	0	0	41.9	39	0	0.17
2	vsNorthern Illinois	W35-17	-13.9	14/19	214	1	0	98.9	38	1	0.87
3	vsIdaho State	W31-0	—	15/19	282	3	0	94.4	22	0	0.66
4	@USC	L23-30	13.1	22/30	210	1	0	47.9	60	0	0.23
5	vsWashington State	W38-13	11.1	21/30	334	2	0	96.6	31	2	0.76
7	@Oregon State	W52-7	-0.7	14/17	247	2	0	99.4	7	0	0.87
8	vsArizona State	W21-3	6.3	12/19	171	0	1	80.1	32	0	0.25
9	vsCalifornia	W35-0	-2.6	11/17	214	1	0	96.2	0	0	0.55
10	@Washington	W33-28	18.3	19/24	284	1	0	—	6	1	0.63
12	vsUCLA	W49-3	-3.9	14/18	335	2	0	—	-14	1	1.11
13	@Arizona	W35-7	-8.0	19/23	211	1	1	—	7	0	0.28
14	vsColorado	W45-15	-4.1	14/17	165	2	0	—	27	0	0.43
15	vsOregon	L15-37	19.0	17/29	193	2	2	—	2	0	-0.03
1	vsTexas	L10-38	12.0	15/23	126	1	0	—	33	0	0.06

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

43.6%

Passing plays

93.0%

Rushing plays

14.4%

Standard downs

39.1%

Passing downs

55.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.27
Passing downs: 0.73
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.52 / 0.10

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2019 · 14 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.