#10Tucker Kilcrease

QB·Troy·2025

Tucker Kilcrease is a Dual-Threat QB for Troy. Tucker's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 340 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Tucker Kilcrease's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing

130/222 Comp/Att1537 Pass yards9 Pass TD6 INT58.6% Comp %

Rushing

126 Rush yards5 Rush TD116 Carries1.1 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Dual-Threat53
Consistency2
Clutch89

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency2th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.56 EPA/play in Wk 8 vs UL Monroe (SP+ -22).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
2	@Clemson	L16-27	9.5	—	—	—	—	—	-1	0	-0.78
3	vsMemphis	L7-28	7.6	10/29	65	0	1	6.6	-17	0	-0.15
4	@Buffalo	W21-17	-7.5	14/24	148	1	0	35.7	50	1	0.26
6	vsSouth Alabama	W31-24	-12.7	13/21	203	2	1	67.3	102	1	0.47
7	@Texas State	W48-41	2.3	30/39	415	5	0	80.9	-4	0	0.48
8	@UL Monroe	W37-14	-21.6	13/21	223	1	0	72.2	-3	0	0.56
9	vsLouisiana	W35-23	-10.1	16/24	180	0	1	62.7	25	2	0.33
10	vsArkansas State	L10-23	-8.8	19/34	166	0	1	9.1	-27	1	-0.10
12	@Old Dominion	L0-33	5.9	2/2	14	0	0	85.3	6	0	0.36
15	@James Madison	L14-31	12.3	1/5	7	0	0	2.6	-19	0	-0.20
20	vsJacksonville State	L13-17	-6.7	12/23	116	0	2	9.2	14	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

47.4%

Passing plays

67.3%

Rushing plays

26.7%

Standard downs

42.3%

Passing downs

56.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.08
Passing downs: 0.32
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.20 / 0.17

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).