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Terron Kellman
Terron Kellman

#11Terron Kellman

RB·Charlotte·2024

Terron Kellman is a Explosive Back for Charlotte. Terron's 2024 season produced 11.6 total EPA across 34 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Terron Kellman's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Rushing
242 Rush yards0 Rush TD48 Carries5.0 Yards/carry
Receiving
1 Receptions8 Rec yards0 Rec TD8.0 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency60
  • Volume25
  • Explosiveness40
  • Consistency35
  • Receiving8
Player type
Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)60th %ile · average
Game-to-game consistency35th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • ▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.09 from the first to second half of the season.
  • ▸Peak game: 0.91 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs South Florida (SP+ -2).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.910−0.91Wk 1 vs James Madison: +0.76 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs North Carolina: -0.36 EPA/play2Wk 5 vs Rice: +0.05 EPA/play5Wk 8 vs Navy: +0.22 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Memphis: -0.14 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Tulane: -0.03 EPA/play10Wk 12 vs South Florida: +0.91 EPA/play12
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsJames MadisonL7-307.59768.401800.76
2@North CarolinaL20-385.0581.60———-0.36
5@RiceW21-20-11.48283.50———0.05
6vsEast CarolinaW55-24-1.010444.40————
8@NavyL17-513.57456.40———0.22
9@MemphisL28-339.6133.00———-0.14
10vsTulaneL3-345.74123.00———-0.03
12vsSouth FloridaL24-59-2.34266.50———0.91
13@Florida AtlanticW39-27-12.7————————

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
8.8%
Passing plays
0.4%
Rushing plays
19.0%
Standard downs
9.3%
Passing downs
8.1%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.04
Passing downs
0.96
Pass / Rush EPA
0.23 / 0.34

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.