#19Tejhaun Palmer

WR·UAB·2023

Tejhaun Palmer is a Vertical Threat WR for UAB. Tejhaun's 2023 season produced 65.1 total EPA across 49 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Tejhaun Palmer's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Receiving

47 Receptions858 Rec yards7 Rec TD18.3 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs WR peers

Efficiency100
Volume18
Explosiveness75
Consistency75
Pass-Down97

Player type

Vertical Threat WR

Elite deep receiver who stretches the field. Wins downfield, commands safety attention, and creates the threat that opens underneath routes.

Downfield threatYAC upsideCreates space for teammates

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency75th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸11 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.99 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 4.10 EPA/play in Wk 13 vs North Texas (SP+ -7).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗

Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	vsNorth Carolina A&T	W35-6	—	4	35	8.8	1	17	0.95
2	@Georgia Southern	L35-49	-5.2	6	102	17.0	0	29	1.16
3	vsLouisiana	L21-41	0.4	2	11	5.5	0	7	-0.59
4	@Georgia	L21-49	31.2	4	37	9.3	0	14	0.92
5	@Tulane	L23-35	2.8	4	46	11.5	0	28	0.41
6	vsSouth Florida	W56-35	-6.6	2	119	59.5	2	61	3.84
7	@UTSA	L20-41	5.4	3	36	12.0	0	17	1.57
8	vsMemphis	L21-45	3.5	2	44	22.0	1	32	1.22
10	vsFlorida Atlantic	W45-42	-9.4	9	179	19.9	1	70	1.34
11	@Navy	L6-31	-13.7	1	26	26.0	0	26	3.22
12	vsTemple	W34-24	-21.0	8	125	15.6	1	30	1.20
13	@North Texas	L42-45	-6.7	2	98	49.0	1	80	4.10

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

6.3%

Passing plays

12.1%

Rushing plays

0.0%

Standard downs

5.5%

Passing downs

8.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 1.22
Passing downs: 1.50
Pass / Rush EPA: 1.33 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).