#11Taylor Lamb

QB·App State·20158.9 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Taylor Lamb is a Dual-Threat QB for App State. Taylor's 2015 season ranks in the 80th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 340 plays — a above-average rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Taylor Lamb's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2015 Production

Passing

170/283 Comp/Att2387 Pass yards31 Pass TD9 INT60.1% Comp %

Rushing

436 Rush yards5 Rush TD85 Carries5.1 Yards/carry

Punting

1 Punts23 Punt yards23.0 Yards/punt23 Long0 Inside 20

Performance Analysis · 2015 · vs QB peers

Efficiency80
Volume100
Dual-Threat84
Consistency81
Clutch80

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)80th %ile · above avg

Game-to-game consistency81th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Above-average efficiency for the QB position (80th percentile).
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.16 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.97 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs UL Monroe (SP+ -15).

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Stetson Bennett	Georgia	2022	509	0.635	12.5	323.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsHoward	W49-0	—	16/21	209	3	0	95.1	41	0	0.71
2	@Clemson	L10-41	24.0	9/28	95	1	3	1.4	8	0	-0.15
4	@Old Dominion	W49-0	-14.8	11/15	187	4	0	96.2	9	0	0.71
5	vsWyoming	W31-13	-16.7	3/12	65	1	1	32.5	20	1	0.11
6	@Georgia State	W37-3	-6.7	21/27	314	3	1	95.3	53	0	0.82
7	@UL Monroe	W59-14	-14.7	8/15	261	3	0	99.7	103	1	0.97
8	vsGeorgia Southern	W31-13	7.3	14/20	202	2	0	86.5	21	0	0.68
9	vsTroy	W44-41	-7.0	16/26	184	2	1	44.0	28	2	0.33
10	vsArkansas State	L27-40	0.5	22/35	321	4	1	57.3	7	0	0.49
11	@Idaho	W47-20	-12.2	8/15	90	3	0	78.5	41	0	0.46
13	vsLouisiana	W28-7	-7.1	14/21	172	1	0	65.0	36	0	0.40
14	@South Alabama	W34-27	-10.4	15/22	163	2	1	71.1	18	0	0.20
1	vsOhio	W31-29	-0.5	13/26	124	2	1	69.9	51	1	0.32

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

39.7%

Passing plays

94.7%

Rushing plays

13.0%

Standard downs

34.0%

Passing downs

53.6%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.39
Passing downs: 0.59
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.50 / 0.32

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2015 · 13 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.