#3Tawee Walker

RB·Wisconsin·2024

Tawee Walker is a Featured Back for Wisconsin. Tawee's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 197 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Tawee Walker's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Rushing

864 Rush yards10 Rush TD190 Carries4.5 Yards/carry

Receiving

11 Receptions21 Rec yards0 Rec TD1.9 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers

Efficiency0
Volume79
Explosiveness30
Consistency0
Receiving19

Player type

Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.39 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.53 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs Rutgers (SP+ 6).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsWestern Michigan	W28-14	-10.2	15	66	4.4	1	2	11	0	0.38
3	vsAlabama	L10-42	25.0	11	26	2.4	0	1	0	0	-0.19
5	@USC	L21-38	11.9	12	55	4.6	2	—	—	—	0.16
6	vsPurdue	W52-6	-16.2	19	94	4.9	3	—	—	—	0.39
7	@Rutgers	W42-7	6.4	24	198	8.3	3	1	3	0	0.53
8	vsNorthwestern	W23-3	-8.2	23	126	5.5	0	2	7	0	0.04
9	vsPenn State	L13-28	24.6	22	59	2.7	1	2	3	0	-0.10
10	@Iowa	L10-42	15.8	16	52	3.3	0	—	—	—	-0.14
12	vsOregon	L13-16	26.0	20	97	4.9	0	1	-1	0	0.10
13	@Nebraska	L25-44	5.5	14	55	3.9	0	—	—	—	-0.17
14	vsMinnesota	L7-24	10.4	14	36	2.6	0	2	-2	0	-0.39

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

27.8%

Passing plays

2.9%

Rushing plays

51.1%

Standard downs

33.3%

Passing downs

15.3%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.13
Passing downs: -0.20
Pass / Rush EPA: -0.28 / 0.09

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).