#3Tawee Walker

RB·Cincinnati·2025

Tawee Walker is a Explosive Back for Cincinnati. Tawee's 2025 season ranks in the 13th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 136 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Tawee Walker's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

709 Rush yards4 Rush TD120 Carries5.9 Yards/carry

Receiving

18 Receptions78 Rec yards1 Rec TD4.3 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency13
Volume55
Explosiveness58
Consistency59
Receiving59

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)13th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency59th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.65 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Northwestern State.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsNebraska	L17-20	6.2	7	53	7.6	0	1	-4	0	0.51
2	vsBowling Green	W34-20	-12.6	11	32	2.9	0	1	-2	0	-0.12
3	vsNorthwestern State	W70-0	—	6	66	11.0	1	2	23	1	0.65
5	@Kansas	W37-34	4.1	18	73	4.1	2	1	4	0	0.01
6	vsIowa State	W38-30	9.9	14	89	6.4	0	—	—	—	0.21
7	vsUCF	W20-11	-1.2	8	31	3.9	0	1	5	0	-0.24
8	@Oklahoma State	W49-17	-15.1	7	38	5.4	0	—	—	—	0.38
9	vsBaylor	W41-20	1.4	19	84	4.4	1	3	18	0	0.26
10	@Utah	L14-45	22.2	7	67	9.6	0	—	—	—	0.53
12	vsArizona	L24-30	12.0	12	119	9.9	0	2	0	0	0.11
13	vsBYU	L14-26	15.9	5	9	1.8	0	4	22	0	-0.15
14	@TCU	L23-45	8.3	6	48	8.0	0	3	12	0	0.25

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

19.4%

Passing plays

6.3%

Rushing plays

33.1%

Standard downs

22.2%

Passing downs

12.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.09
Passing downs: 0.48
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.13 / 0.17

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).