#9Ramel Keyton

WR·Tennessee·2023

Ramel Keyton is a Vertical Threat WR for Tennessee. Ramel's 2023 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 56 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Ramel Keyton's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Receiving

35 Receptions642 Rec yards6 Rec TD18.3 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs WR peers

Efficiency100
Volume21
Explosiveness76
Consistency65
Pass-Down42

Player type

Vertical Threat WR

Elite deep receiver who stretches the field. Wins downfield, commands safety attention, and creates the threat that opens underneath routes.

Downfield threatYAC upsideCreates space for teammates

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency65th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 1.35 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 3.31 EPA/play in Wk 10 vs UConn (SP+ -16).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗

Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Quadree Henderson	Pittsburgh	2016	63	0.530	1.6	33.4
DeAndre Hughes	Air Force	2021	60	0.470	1.3	28.2
Keytaon Thompson	Mississippi State	2017	70	0.460	1.2	32.2
Savion Williams	TCU	2024	56	0.450	1.1	25.2
Bert Emanuel Jr.	Central Michigan	2022	53	0.460	1.6	24.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	vsVirginia	W49-13	-10.8	3	66	22.0	0	41	1.01
2	vsAustin Peay	W30-13	—	5	52	10.4	1	17	0.82
3	@Florida	L16-29	6.8	3	39	13.0	1	14	0.11
4	vsUTSA	W45-14	5.4	1	48	48.0	1	48	-0.62
5	vsSouth Carolina	W41-20	4.3	2	25	12.5	0	19	0.27
8	@Alabama	L20-34	23.1	5	71	14.2	0	30	0.35
9	@Kentucky	W33-27	10.5	3	30	10.0	0	17	0.69
10	vsUConn	W59-3	-15.6	2	81	40.5	1	60	3.31
11	@Missouri	L7-36	19.3	4	57	14.3	0	20	1.41
13	vsVanderbilt	W48-24	-12.7	4	122	30.5	2	56	1.27
20	vsIowa	W35-0	5.8	3	51	17.0	0	27	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

7.3%

Passing plays

14.9%

Rushing plays

0.3%

Standard downs

6.5%

Passing downs

9.1%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.70
Passing downs: 0.65
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.68 / 0.70

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).