#0Raleek Brown

RB·Arizona State·20251.7 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Raleek Brown is a Pass-Catching Back for Arizona State. Raleek's 2025 season ranks in the 15th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 227 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Raleek Brown's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

1141 Rush yards4 Rush TD186 Carries6.1 Yards/carry

Receiving

34 Receptions239 Rec yards2 Rec TD7.0 Yards/rec

Returns

2 Kick returns35 KR yards0 KR TD2 Punt returns31 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency15
Volume75
Explosiveness62
Consistency54
Receiving76

Player type

Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)15th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency54th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.12 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.53 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Northern Arizona.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3
Eno Benjamin	Arizona State	2018	316	0.330	4.6	104.3
Hassan Haskins	Michigan	2021	280	0.380	4.8	106.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsNorthern Arizona	W38-19	—	5	38	7.6	1	3	13	0	0.53
2	@Mississippi State	L20-24	4.1	18	110	6.1	0	3	10	0	0.14
3	vsTexas State	W34-15	2.3	12	144	12.0	1	1	11	0	0.33
4	@Baylor	W27-24	1.4	21	80	3.8	0	3	23	0	-0.15
5	vsTCU	W27-24	8.3	21	134	6.4	0	9	50	0	0.14
7	@Utah	L10-42	22.2	14	67	4.8	0	2	17	0	0.16
8	vsTexas Tech	W26-22	27.6	19	69	3.6	1	4	15	0	0.02
9	vsHouston	L16-24	7.4	11	64	5.8	0	2	20	0	0.17
10	@Iowa State	W24-19	9.9	16	64	4.0	0	2	8	0	-0.31
12	vsWest Virginia	W25-23	-6.8	14	53	3.8	0	3	29	1	0.15
13	@Colorado	W42-17	-8.3	22	255	11.6	1	1	33	1	0.30
14	vsArizona	L7-23	12.0	13	63	4.8	0	1	10	0	0.12

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

26.2%

Passing plays

10.9%

Rushing plays

41.7%

Standard downs

31.8%

Passing downs

14.7%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.08
Passing downs: 0.24
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.06 / 0.12

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2025 · 12 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.