#13Parker Navarro

QB·Ohio·20245.4 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Parker Navarro is a Dual-Threat QB for Ohio. Parker's 2024 season ranks in the 20th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 445 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Parker Navarro's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Passing

195/295 Comp/Att2423 Pass yards13 Pass TD11 INT66.1% Comp %

Rushing

1047 Rush yards18 Rush TD160 Carries6.5 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

Efficiency20
Volume100
Dual-Threat100
Consistency82
Clutch82

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)20th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency82th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.13 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.80 EPA/play in Wk 14 vs Ball State (SP+ -20).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	@Syracuse	L22-38	5.5	18/30	181	0	1	17.2	33	0	-0.07
2	vsSouth Alabama	W27-20	2.8	20/28	204	1	0	53.1	62	1	0.32
3	vsMorgan State	W21-6	—	12/15	162	1	3	38.8	5	1	0.60
5	vsAkron	W30-10	-17.9	12/18	204	2	0	83.9	113	1	0.69
7	@Central Michigan	W27-25	-15.8	13/22	147	1	0	82.9	176	1	0.57
8	@Miami (OH)	L20-30	1.3	13/22	88	0	2	27.2	38	0	0.04
9	vsBuffalo	W47-16	-4.0	14/19	231	2	1	81.1	81	0	0.60
11	@Kent State	W41-0	-33.0	14/24	142	0	0	57.1	41	1	0.33
12	vsEastern Michigan	W35-10	-13.3	22/32	277	0	1	75.9	106	4	0.57
13	@Toledo	W24-7	-2.5	11/19	129	0	1	59.0	104	2	0.18
14	vsBall State	W42-21	-19.8	7/11	169	3	1	92.6	110	2	0.80
15	vsMiami (OH)	W38-3	1.3	20/27	235	2	0	93.6	67	2	0.56
20	vsJacksonville State	W30-27	-1.0	19/28	254	1	1	83.6	111	3	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

52.6%

Passing plays

90.6%

Rushing plays

27.4%

Standard downs

49.1%

Passing downs

61.3%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.35
Passing downs: 0.56
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.29 / 0.69

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2024 · 13 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.