#6Jeff Driskel

QB·Louisiana Tech·20157.7 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Jeff Driskel is a Dual-Threat QB for Louisiana Tech. Jeff's 2015 season ranks in the 18th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 499 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jeff Driskel's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2015 Production

Passing

281/450 Comp/Att4033 Pass yards27 Pass TD8 INT62.4% Comp %

Rushing

323 Rush yards5 Rush TD92 Carries3.5 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2015 · vs QB peers

Efficiency18
Volume100
Dual-Threat75
Consistency83
Clutch93

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)18th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency83th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.09 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.84 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs Rice (SP+ -15).

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Jordan Travis	Florida State	2021	690	0.476	10.1	328.3
Stetson Bennett	Georgia	2022	509	0.635	12.5	323.0
Kyle McCord	Syracuse	2024	632	0.509	12.1	321.4
Sam Hartman	Wake Forest	2021	647	0.556	11.8	359.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsSouthern	W62-15	—	12/15	274	4	0	98.9	15	1	0.82
2	@Western Kentucky	L38-41	10.8	28/48	357	2	1	67.2	55	1	0.29
3	@Kansas State	L33-39	2.6	30/51	314	1	0	50.4	42	2	0.13
4	vsFlorida International	W27-17	-16.6	18/32	226	1	0	54.7	29	0	0.27
5	vsLouisiana	W43-14	-7.1	20/33	290	2	0	93.8	56	1	0.66
6	@UTSA	W34-31	-17.7	28/44	351	1	2	54.1	14	0	0.27
7	@Mississippi State	L20-45	15.1	25/41	303	2	1	67.9	10	0	0.14
8	vsMiddle Tennessee	W45-16	-4.6	20/30	301	2	0	91.4	29	0	0.44
9	@Rice	W42-17	-14.6	17/26	320	4	0	96.3	-7	0	0.84
10	vsNorth Texas	W56-13	-25.0	17/26	296	0	1	87.5	35	0	0.54
12	@UTEP	W17-15	-19.5	13/22	188	2	0	69.6	42	0	0.43
13	vsSouthern Miss	L24-58	1.4	27/44	355	3	3	42.3	-13	0	0.14
1	vsArkansas State	W47-28	0.5	26/38	458	3	0	83.5	16	0	0.60

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

58.1%

Passing plays

94.2%

Rushing plays

18.6%

Standard downs

52.7%

Passing downs

70.4%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.28
Passing downs: 0.54
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.40 / 0.28

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2015 · 13 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.