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Jamarian Samuel

#16Jamarian Samuel

Jamarian Samuel is a Explosive Back for Georgia Southern.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jamarian Samuel's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing
87 Rush yards1 Rush TD12 Carries7.3 Yards/carry
Returns
5 Kick returns85 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency83
  • Volume16
  • Explosiveness86
  • Consistency81
  • Receiving0
Player type
Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)83th %ile · above avg
Game-to-game consistency81th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • Above-average efficiency for the RB position (83th percentile).
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Peak game: 0.96 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs USC (SP+ 17).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.9600.96Wk 2 vs USC: +0.96 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Jacksonville State: +0.23 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Maine: +0.32 EPA/play4
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDEPA/play
2@USCL20-5916.945814.500.96
3vsJacksonville StateW41-34-6.73144.700.23
4vsMaineW45-175153.010.32

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
5.5%
Passing plays
0.0%
Rushing plays
10.9%
Standard downs
4.6%
Passing downs
7.6%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.10
Passing downs
0.85
Pass / Rush EPA
— / 0.28

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.
Jamarian Samuel Stats, EPA & Player Profile — Georgia Southern · Gridpex