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Jalen Royals
Jalen Royals

#1Jalen Royals

WR·Utah State·2024

Jalen Royals is a Versatile WR for Utah State. Jalen's 2024 season produced 60.6 total EPA across 46 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jalen Royals's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving
55 Receptions834 Rec yards6 Rec TD15.2 Yards/rec
Returns
9 Kick returns184 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume31
  • Explosiveness54
  • Consistency85
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency85th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 1.11 from the first to second half of the season.
  • ▸Peak game: 2.31 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Boise State (SP+ 10).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+2.310−2.31Wk 1 vs Robert Morris: +1.30 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs USC: +0.42 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Utah: +0.61 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Temple: +0.85 EPA/play4Wk 6 vs Boise State: +2.31 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs UNLV: +1.53 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs New Mexico: +1.83 EPA/play8
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsRobert MorrisW36-14—57715.41301.30
2@USCL0-4811.96477.80130.42
3vsUtahL21-387.744411.00350.61
4@TempleL29-45-20.31011211.21260.85
6@Boise StateL30-6210.1921123.42752.31
7vsUNLVL34-509.31015515.51271.53
8vsNew MexicoL45-50-14.81118817.11591.83

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
11.0%
Passing plays
19.1%
Rushing plays
0.5%
Standard downs
12.1%
Passing downs
8.6%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
1.07
Passing downs
2.01
Pass / Rush EPA
1.35 / -0.30

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.