#24Jadarian Price

RB·Notre Dame·2025

Jadarian Price is a Explosive Back for Notre Dame. Jadarian's 2025 season ranks in the 98th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 108 plays — a elite rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jadarian Price's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

674 Rush yards11 Rush TD113 Carries6.0 Yards/carry

Receiving

6 Receptions87 Rec yards2 Rec TD14.5 Yards/rec

Returns

12 Kick returns450 KR yards2 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency98
Volume44
Explosiveness60
Consistency59
Receiving21

Player type

Explosive Back

Elite per-carry efficiency — breaks big runs and creates chunk plays at a top rate while in a limited role.

Big-play threatHigh EPA per carryCapitalises on opportunities

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)98th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency59th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among RBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 1.35 EPA/play in Wk 13 vs Syracuse (SP+ -13).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Travis Etienne	Clemson	2019	213	0.470	4.7	100.1
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	@Miami	L24-27	20.7	6	45	7.5	0	—	—	—	0.41
3	vsTexas A&M	L40-41	20.7	12	68	5.7	2	—	—	—	0.35
4	vsPurdue	W56-30	-6.1	9	74	8.2	3	—	—	—	0.89
5	@Arkansas	W56-13	5.1	13	86	6.6	1	1	35	1	0.27
6	vsBoise State	W28-7	3.1	8	83	10.4	1	—	—	—	0.65
7	vsNC State	W36-7	4.8	15	66	4.4	0	—	—	—	-0.27
8	vsUSC	W34-24	16.9	13	87	6.7	1	1	9	0	0.30
10	@Boston College	W25-10	-8.5	9	12	1.3	0	1	3	0	-0.41
11	vsNavy	W49-10	6.2	10	47	4.7	1	—	—	—	0.22
12	@Pittsburgh	W37-15	8.4	8	21	2.6	0	—	—	—	-0.19
13	vsSyracuse	W70-7	-13.1	4	70	17.5	1	—	—	—	1.35
14	@Stanford	W49-20	-11.8	6	15	2.5	1	3	40	1	0.66

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

15.4%

Passing plays

1.8%

Rushing plays

26.7%

Standard downs

17.5%

Passing downs

10.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.27
Passing downs: 0.57
Pass / Rush EPA: 1.32 / 0.27

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).