#12Jacoby Brissett

QB·NC State·20144.9 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Jacoby Brissett is a Dual-Threat QB for NC State. Jacoby's 2014 season ranks in the 8th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 455 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jacoby Brissett's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2014 Production

Passing

221/370 Comp/Att2606 Pass yards23 Pass TD5 INT59.7% Comp %

Rushing

529 Rush yards3 Rush TD124 Carries4.3 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2014 · vs QB peers

Efficiency8
Volume100
Dual-Threat100
Consistency74
Clutch63

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)8th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency74th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Peak game: 0.99 EPA/play in Wk 14 vs North Carolina (SP+ 0).

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsGeorgia Southern	W24-23	-2.4	28/40	291	3	1	72.5	28	0	0.36
2	vsOld Dominion	W46-34	-12.7	21/29	253	2	0	88.7	45	0	0.57
3	@South Florida	W49-17	-11.8	20/29	266	2	0	92.2	23	0	0.47
4	vsPresbyterian	W42-0	—	14/21	195	3	0	93.5	22	1	0.62
5	vsFlorida State	L41-56	28.5	32/48	359	3	0	59.4	38	0	0.29
6	@Clemson	L0-41	18.1	4/18	35	0	0	2.1	14	0	-0.18
7	vsBoston College	L14-30	4.9	14/30	174	1	1	35.4	-22	0	0.15
8	@Louisville	L18-30	17.0	18/32	223	2	1	56.3	40	0	0.08
10	@Syracuse	W24-17	-2.1	20/32	186	1	0	25.9	16	0	0.10
11	vsGeorgia Tech	L23-56	11.2	18/35	213	1	2	42.7	77	1	0.39
12	vsWake Forest	W42-13	-7.8	8/19	83	1	0	33.3	50	0	0.10
14	@North Carolina	W35-7	0.0	9/11	66	3	0	99.7	167	1	0.99
1	vsUCF	W34-27	5.7	15/26	262	1	0	72.2	31	0	0.41

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

55.0%

Passing plays

97.0%

Rushing plays

20.7%

Standard downs

49.2%

Passing downs

68.6%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.27
Passing downs: 0.38
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.24 / 0.61

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2014 · 13 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.