NC State Wolfpack
ACC··0-0
0 followers
Elo
1605
#45
SP+
4.8
#55
O45/D64
FPI
5.2
SRS
7.0
AP
NR
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 11 to play6.8 – 4.2
projected final record (now 0–0)
Exp. wins left
6.8
of 11 games
Bowl odds
82%
reach 6 wins
Best odds
92%
vs Syracuse
Toughest
16%
vs Vanderbilt
💬NC State Board
Show discussion →Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Offense
Total yards / game
392.8#65
Yards / play
6.1#35
Passing yards / game
245.7#49
Rushing yards / game
147.1#81
First downs / game
20.4#70
3rd down %
41.2%#51
4th down %
50.0%#91
Time of possession
29:57#67
Defense
Yards allowed / game
412.5#111
Yards / play allowed
6.1#112
Pass yards allowed / game
273.2#132
Rush yards allowed / game
139.4#52
3rd down % allowed
45.7%#128
Sacks
20#105
Tackles for loss
66#75
Turnovers & Discipline
Turnover margin
+2#54
Takeaways
15#73
Giveaways
13#25
Penalties / game
5.5#45
Penalty yards / game
53.8#64
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Advanced analytics
Opponent-adjusted advanced stats aren't available for 2026 yet — they populate a few weeks into the season.
Schedule & Results
Wk 1@
VirginiaSat+3.739%Wk 2vsRichmondFriWk 3@
VanderbiltSat+13.416%Wk 4vs
App StateSat-18.091%Wk 5vs
LouisvilleSat+3.440%Wk 6vs
Wake ForestSat-5.465%Wk 8@
StanfordSat-8.473%Wk 9vs
CaliforniaSat-12.282%Wk 10vs
DukeSat-1.755%Wk 11vs
SyracuseSat-19.392%Wk 12@
Florida StateSat+0.449%Wk 13@
North CarolinaSat-9.075%
VirginiaSat+3.739%Wk 2vsRichmondFriWk 3@VanderbiltSat+13.416%Wk 4vsApp StateSat-18.091%Wk 5vsLouisvilleSat+3.440%Wk 6vsWake ForestSat-5.465%Wk 8@StanfordSat-8.473%Wk 9vsCaliforniaSat-12.282%Wk 10vsDukeSat-1.755%Wk 11vsSyracuseSat-19.392%Wk 12@Florida StateSat+0.449%Wk 13@North CarolinaSat-9.075%2026 Recruiting Class
Commits
16
Avg stars
3.00
Avg rating
0.8598
16 3★
| Recruit | Pos | Stars | Rtg | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amiri Acker#603 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8833 | Iva, SC |
| Jordan Jackson#1227 nat'l | CB | ★★★★★ | 0.8667 | Winter Park, FL |
| Caleb Gordon#1227 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8667 | Gastonia, NC |
| Elijah Satchell#1227 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8667 | Camden, NJ |
| Brody Smith#1296 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.8650 | Maryville, TN |
| Dylan McCoy#1320 nat'l | RB | ★★★★★ | 0.8644 | Buford, GA |
| Tre Aiken#1422 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.8622 | Clinton, SC |
| Noah Moss#1422 nat'l | RB | ★★★★★ | 0.8622 | Fairhope, AL |
| Jordan Moreta#1392 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8583 | Paramus, NJ |
| Brady Sakowitz#1656 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.8578 | Richmond, VA |
| Stephen Brown#1816 nat'l | TE | ★★★★★ | 0.8544 | Chicago, IL |
| Carmelo McKenzie#1539 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8519 | Bradenton, FL |
| Jacquey Ferguson Jr.#1903 nat'l | EDGE | ★★★★★ | 0.8511 | St. Petersburg, FL |
| Tyreek Copper#1589 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8500 | Kinston, NC |
| Jacob Smith#2116 nat'l | QB | ★★★★★ | 0.8489 | Pfafftown, NC |
| Lawrence Brown#2145 nat'l | EDGE | ★★★★★ | 0.8467 | Loganville, GA |
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-5 | 4-4 | 62% | 7.6 | +0.4 |
| 2024 | 6-7 | 3-5 | 46% | 7.9 | -1.9 |
| 2023 | 9-4 | 6-2 | 69% | 8.4 | +0.6 |
| 2022 | 8-5 | 4-4 | 62% | 6.9 | +1.1 |
| 2021 | 9-3 | 6-2 | 75% | 8.0 | +1.0 |
| 2020 | 8-4 | 7-3 | 67% | 6.2 | +1.8 |
| 2019 | 4-8 | 1-7 | 33% | 4.2 | -0.2 |
| 2018 | 9-4 | 5-3 | 69% | 8.7 | +0.3 |
| 2017 | 9-4 | 6-2 | 69% | 9.5 | -0.5 |
| 2016 | 7-6 | 3-5 | 54% | 7.8 | -0.8 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).