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Ja'Khi Douglas

Ja'Khi Douglas

Ja'Khi Douglas is a Versatile WR for Florida State. Ja'Khi's 2024 season produced 52.4 total EPA across 47 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Ja'Khi Douglas's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving
32 Receptions519 Rec yards4 Rec TD16.2 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume19
  • Explosiveness61
  • Consistency88
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency88th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 11 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.62 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 2.52 EPA/play in Wk 3 vs Memphis (SP+ 10).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+2.5202.52Wk 1 vs Boston College: +0.95 EPA/play1Wk 3 vs Memphis: +2.52 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs California: +1.65 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs SMU: +1.87 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Clemson: +1.71 EPA/play6Wk 8 vs Duke: +1.62 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Miami: +1.14 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs North Carolina: +0.89 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Notre Dame: +1.02 EPA/play11Wk 13 vs Charleston Southern: +1.59 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Florida: +0.42 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
0vsGeorgia TechL21-241.945513.8020
1vsBoston CollegeL13-281.246616.50300.95
3vsMemphisL12-209.611717.00172.52
4vsCaliforniaW14-94.048621.51361.65
5@SMUL16-4217.526130.50501.87
6vsClemsonL13-2913.33217.01121.71
8@DukeL16-235.644812.00191.62
9@MiamiL14-3621.612929.00291.14
10vsNorth CarolinaL11-355.022110.51280.89
11@Notre DameL3-5223.91.02
13vsCharleston SouthernW41-738227.31711.59
14vsFloridaL11-3113.84338.30140.42

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
6.5%
Passing plays
10.7%
Rushing plays
1.5%
Standard downs
5.9%
Passing downs
7.4%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.82
Passing downs
1.47
Pass / Rush EPA
1.21 / 0.30

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.
Ja Khi Douglas Stats, EPA & Player Profile — Florida State · Gridpex