#8Eric Soza

QB·UTSA·20134.4 pts line valueDay 2 (Rds 2–3)

Eric Soza is a Dual-Threat QB for UTSA. Eric's 2013 season ranks in the 88th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 345 plays — a above-average rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Eric Soza's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2013 Production

Passing

236/377 Comp/Att2719 Pass yards12 Pass TD11 INT62.6% Comp %

Rushing

369 Rush yards7 Rush TD97 Carries3.8 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2013 · vs QB peers

Efficiency88
Volume100
Dual-Threat81
Consistency74
Clutch100

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)88th %ile · above avg

Game-to-game consistency74th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Above-average efficiency for the QB position (88th percentile).
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.62 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 1.21 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs Tulane (SP+ -8).

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	@New Mexico	W21-13	-14.9	21/34	237	2	0	64.3	48	0	0.20
2	vsOklahoma State	L35-56	21.8	24/41	308	3	2	36.9	25	0	0.16
3	@Arizona	L13-38	14.6	30/46	277	0	1	23.4	22	0	0.30
4	@UTEP	W32-13	-28.9	18/24	204	1	0	62.4	7	0	0.34
5	vsHouston	L28-59	4.9	29/40	316	2	3	63.2	16	1	0.53
6	@Marshall	L10-34	8.3	10/26	130	0	3	5.5	5	1	-0.28
7	vsRice	L21-27	-1.5	17/31	170	0	0	53.9	85	2	1.17
9	vsUAB	W52-31	-20.8	14/21	235	2	0	88.9	48	0	0.91
10	@Tulsa	W34-15	-18.7	16/20	114	1	0	52.0	43	0	0.30
11	vsTulane	W10-7	-8.0	10/25	183	0	0	46.3	-4	0	1.21
13	@North Texas	W21-13	1.0	30/49	274	0	1	78.4	36	2	0.31
14	vsLouisiana Tech	W30-10	-16.8	17/20	271	1	1	95.6	38	1	1.04

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

47.3%

Passing plays

78.1%

Rushing plays

16.7%

Standard downs

43.1%

Passing downs

56.6%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.23
Passing downs: 0.66
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.41 / 0.30

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2013 · 12 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.