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Elijah Sarratt
Elijah Sarratt

#13Elijah Sarratt

WR·James Madison·2023

Elijah Sarratt is a Versatile WR for James Madison. Elijah's 2023 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 69 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Elijah Sarratt's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Receiving
82 Receptions1191 Rec yards8 Rec TD14.5 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume27
  • Explosiveness50
  • Consistency89
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency89th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸11 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.19 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • ▸Peak game: 2.92 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Virginia (SP+ -11).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+2.920−2.92Wk 1 vs Bucknell: +0.97 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Virginia: +2.92 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Troy: +1.35 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Utah State: +1.18 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs South Alabama: +1.63 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs Georgia Southern: +1.91 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs Old Dominion: +1.64 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Georgia State: +0.93 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs UConn: +0.76 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs App State: +1.88 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Coastal Carolina: +2.16 EPA/play13
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsBucknellW38-3—22914.50220.97
2@VirginiaW36-35-10.825226.00282.92
3@TroyW16-149.866210.31221.35
4@Utah StateW45-38-10.944511.30181.18
5vsSouth AlabamaW31-235.159218.41481.63
7vsGeorgia SouthernW41-13-5.2510521.01371.91
8@MarshallW20-9-9.077010.0022—
9vsOld DominionW30-27-10.1813917.41401.64
10@Georgia StateW42-14-6.888710.90390.93
11vsUConnW44-6-15.61316012.30330.76
12vsApp StateL23-263.8812816.01281.88
13@Coastal CarolinaW56-14-1.2610717.83322.16
20vsAir ForceL21-315.9811514.4027—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
9.4%
Passing plays
18.3%
Rushing plays
0.3%
Standard downs
9.5%
Passing downs
9.2%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
1.16
Passing downs
2.31
Pass / Rush EPA
1.48 / 2.45

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.
Elijah Sarratt Stats, EPA & Player Profile — James Madison · Gridpex