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Dylan Raiola

#8Dylan Raiola

Dylan Raiola is a Dual-Threat QB for Nebraska. Dylan's 2025 season ranks in the 3th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 284 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Dylan Raiola's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing
181/250 Comp/Att2000 Pass yards18 Pass TD6 INT72.4% Comp %
Rushing
-87 Rush yards0 Rush TD46 Carries-1.9 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency3
  • Volume100
  • Dual-Threat100
  • Consistency72
  • Clutch100
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)3th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency72th %ile · average
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.37 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 0.78 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs Akron (SP+ -14).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.7800.78Wk 1 vs Cincinnati: +0.35 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Akron: +0.78 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Houston Christian: +0.54 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Michigan: +0.28 EPA/play4Wk 6 vs Michigan State: +0.03 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Maryland: +0.16 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Minnesota: -0.03 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Northwestern: +0.31 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs USC: +0.01 EPA/play10
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsCincinnatiW20-174.533/422432077.8-100.35
2vsAkronW68-0-13.924/313644092.11300.78
3vsHouston ChristianW59-715/212222080.1700.54
4vsMichiganL27-3012.430/413083164.6-4900.28
6vsMichigan StateW38-27-3.416/241941118.9-1700.03
7@MarylandW34-310.620/292604379.3-400.16
8@MinnesotaL6-241.517/251770039.4-340-0.03
9vsNorthwesternW28-215.816/221411154.5-100.31
10vsUSCL17-2116.910/15911082.4-100.01

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
49.9%
Passing plays
91.7%
Rushing plays
6.5%
Standard downs
45.3%
Passing downs
64.3%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.09
Passing downs
0.63
Pass / Rush EPA
0.25 / 0.45

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.