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Damien Martinez
Damien Martinez

#6Damien Martinez

RB·Oregon State·202420232.0 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Damien Martinez is a 2-year Featured Back for Oregon State. Damien's 2023 season ranks in the 10th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 208 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Damien Martinez's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Rushing
1185 Rush yards9 Rush TD194 Carries6.1 Yards/carry
Receiving
11 Receptions126 Rec yards0 Rec TD11.5 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency10
  • Volume77
  • Explosiveness62
  • Consistency55
  • Receiving30
Player type
Featured Back

The centerpiece of the run game — high carry volume, used in early downs and goal-line, true workhorse role.

Primary ball carrierHigh volumeGoal-line threat
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)10th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency55th %ile · average
Key findings
  • ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Peak game: 1.04 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs Stanford (SP+ -12).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗
Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Saquon BarkleyPenn State0.3403.997.9
Dalvin CookFlorida State0.3404.399.3
Breece HallIowa State0.3404.5102.3
James FlandersTulsa0.3904.9103.7
Hassan HaskinsMichigan0.3804.8106.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.040−1.04Wk 1 vs San José State: +0.39 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs UC Davis: +0.67 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs San Diego State: +0.31 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Washington State: +0.12 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Utah: -0.17 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs California: +0.25 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs UCLA: +0.17 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs Arizona: -0.06 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Colorado: +0.04 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Stanford: +1.04 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Washington: +0.34 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Oregon: -0.31 EPA/play13
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1@San José StateW42-17-3.4181458.1021900.39
2vsUC DavisW55-7—710414.91———0.67
3vsSan Diego StateW26-9-10.3151026.801400.31
4@Washington StateL35-384.917814.8021900.12
5vsUtahW21-78.516654.11———-0.17
6@CaliforniaW52-40-0.117895.2111600.25
7vsUCLAW36-249.715906.00———0.17
9@ArizonaL24-2714.114876.20180-0.06
10@ColoradoW26-19-4.9211155.50———0.04
11vsStanfordW62-17-11.9151469.7421601.04
12vsWashingtonL20-2216.4261234.7224400.34
13@OregonL7-3126.213382.90———-0.31

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
27.1%
Passing plays
4.4%
Rushing plays
47.2%
Standard downs
30.8%
Passing downs
18.8%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.14
Passing downs
0.54
Pass / Rush EPA
0.68 / 0.19

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+1.190−0.542024
EPA per play · 2023 — 2024 · 25 games
SeasonTeamLine valueTotal EPA
2023Oregon State
2.0
47.5
2024Miami
2.9
57.7

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.