#5Dallin Holker

TE·Colorado State·2023

Dallin Holker is a Versatile TE for Colorado State. Dallin's 2023 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 68 plays — a elite rate for the TE.

What projects, and what doesn't · TEs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.42
Beats guessing the TE average by 9%. n=2,225 TE seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.04
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=2,016 TE seasons
Total EPA (value)0.46
Beats guessing the TE average by 13%. n=2,016 TE seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Dallin Holker's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Receiving

64 Receptions767 Rec yards6 Rec TD12.0 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs TE peers

Efficiency100
Volume23
Explosiveness33
Consistency82
Pass-Down100

Player type

Versatile TE

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency82th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸11 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.15 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 2.23 EPA/play in Wk 5 vs Utah Tech.

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗

Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	vsWashington State	L24-50	4.9	5	47	9.4	1	20	0.86
3	@Colorado	L35-43	-4.9	6	109	18.2	2	35	0.63
4	@Middle Tennessee	W31-23	-9.5	11	112	10.2	1	24	1.09
5	vsUtah Tech	W41-20	—	4	94	23.5	1	42	2.23
6	@Utah State	L24-44	-10.9	6	50	8.3	0	18	-0.10
7	vsBoise State	W31-30	5.9	7	85	12.1	1	33	0.94
8	@UNLV	L23-25	1.4	4	80	20.0	0	34	1.29
9	vsAir Force	L13-30	5.9	5	43	8.6	0	17	0.57
10	@Wyoming	L15-24	-3.6	3	33	11.0	0	14	1.26
11	vsSan Diego State	W22-19	-10.3	6	57	9.5	0	15	0.91
12	vsNevada	W30-20	-22.0	2	29	14.5	0	19	1.96
13	@Hawai'i	L24-27	-16.4	5	28	5.6	0	12	0.54

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

8.2%

Passing plays

13.2%

Rushing plays

0.9%

Standard downs

8.1%

Passing downs

8.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.68
Passing downs: 1.36
Pass / Rush EPA: 1.06 / -2.35

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).