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Dallas Payne

#0Dallas Payne

Dallas Payne is a Versatile TE for Florida International. Dallas's 2025 season produced 27.8 total EPA across 35 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · TEs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.42
    Beats guessing the TE average by 9%. n=2,225 TE seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.04
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=2,016 TE seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.46
    Beats guessing the TE average by 13%. n=2,016 TE seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Dallas Payne's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving
27 Receptions293 Rec yards4 Rec TD10.9 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs TE peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume13
  • Explosiveness26
  • Consistency84
  • Pass-Down0
Player type
Versatile TE

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency84th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among TEs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 8 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.40 from the first to second half of the season.
  • Peak game: 1.90 EPA/play in Wk 14 vs Sam Houston (SP+ -28).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Ty ThompsonTulane0.4200.720.2
Seth GreenMinnesota0.3900.032.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+1.9001.90Wk 1 vs Bethune-Cookman: +0.70 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Penn State: +0.94 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Florida Atlantic: +0.60 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Delaware: +0.28 EPA/play4Wk 8 vs Western Kentucky: +1.23 EPA/play8Wk 10 vs Missouri State: +0.92 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Middle Tennessee: +0.97 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Liberty: +0.20 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Jacksonville State: +1.52 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Sam Houston: +1.90 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1vsBethune-CookmanW42-9177.0070.70
2@Penn StateL0-3418.12189.00100.94
3vsFlorida AtlanticW38-28-8.7177.0070.60
4vsDelawareL16-38-10.93217.0090.28
8@Western KentuckyW25-61.63237.7091.23
10@Missouri StateL21-28-10.7284.0160.92
11@Middle TennesseeW56-30-16.023718.51300.97
12vsLibertyW34-27-9.04215.30140.20
13vsJacksonville StateW27-21-6.73248.00111.52
14vsSam HoustonW56-16-27.8410025.01421.90
20vsUTSAL20-573.722713.5122

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
4.4%
Passing plays
9.1%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
4.1%
Passing downs
5.1%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
1.22
Passing downs
-0.01
Pass / Rush EPA
0.79 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.