#20Caleb Ramseur

RB·Nevada·2025

Caleb Ramseur is a Committee Back for Nevada. Caleb's 2025 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 146 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Caleb Ramseur's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

683 Rush yards5 Rush TD139 Carries4.9 Yards/carry

Receiving

18 Receptions191 Rec yards3 Rec TD10.6 Yards/rec

Returns

3 Kick returns67 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency0
Volume62
Explosiveness38
Consistency26
Receiving58

Player type

Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency26th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.15 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.64 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs Utah State (SP+ -3).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	@Penn State	L11-46	18.1	5	10	2.0	0	—	—	—	-0.40
2	vsSacramento State	W20-17	—	13	70	5.4	0	3	17	0	0.24
3	vsMiddle Tennessee	L13-14	-16.0	5	13	2.6	0	—	—	—	-0.28
4	@Western Kentucky	L16-31	1.6	9	66	7.3	0	1	12	0	0.43
6	@Fresno State	L17-20	1.8	16	77	4.8	0	2	22	1	0.34
7	vsSan Diego State	L10-44	6.7	8	35	4.4	0	—	—	—	-0.04
8	@New Mexico	L22-24	0.9	14	39	2.8	2	1	10	0	-0.02
9	vsBoise State	L3-24	3.1	7	19	2.7	0	2	15	0	-0.24
11	@Utah State	L14-51	-3.1	8	43	5.4	0	3	57	1	0.64
12	vsSan José State	W55-10	-14.3	20	128	6.4	1	2	29	1	0.27
13	@Wyoming	W13-7	-11.3	19	88	4.6	0	1	21	0	0.22
14	vsUNLV	L17-42	4.3	15	95	6.3	2	3	8	0	0.30

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

21.8%

Passing plays

6.9%

Rushing plays

34.3%

Standard downs

23.8%

Passing downs

18.0%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.14
Passing downs: 0.15
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.36 / 0.11

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).